Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/22/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, June 22, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-128) New York (+106)

The New York Mets (34-41) will go up against the Chicago Cubs (40-36) at Citi Field on Monday. The line on this contest has Chicago at -128 while New York is sitting at +106. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Edward Cabrera and Kodai Senga.

Chicago owns a slugging percentage of .401 and have been called out on strikes 629 times, while drawing a walk on 331 occasions. They have accumulated 333 runs batted in in addition to 630 hits on the campaign, while their batting average is sitting at .243. The Cubs have recorded 117 doubles as a squad and have knocked 88 baseballs out of the park. They have a total of 360 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .336. As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are compiling 4.7 runs per game, which puts them at 8th in baseball.

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The Cubs are sitting with a team ERA of 4.23 for the year (19th in baseball), and they have struck out 596 batters. Cubs pitchers have given up 111 home runs and 337 runs in total (18th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 230 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.61 as a team so far this season. Chicago has relinquished 606 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 317 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.59 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Cubs relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 50.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 46 save situations. They have compiled 11 saves this season and have blown 11 of 22 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 105 runners for the year with 29.5% of those runners crossing the plate. Cubs relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 74 times and also have had 69 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have dispatched 240 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relievers have notched 21 holds for the season (30th in baseball).

The Cubs have converted 72.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,069 innings, which has them ranked 2nd in MLB. The Chicago Cubs have earned 2,023 putouts this season, in addition to 704 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .989 which has them sitting 6th in the majors, and have earned 49 double plays.

Cabrera has pitched in 498 frames and has accounted for 539 punch outs so far in his career. Cabrera (29-33 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.16 and he has gone up against 2,131 batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.23 (234 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.322. He has conceded 418 base knocks (7.5 hits per nine innings) with 241 free passes.

The New York Mets have recorded a team OBP of .298 and a batting average of .233 on the season. They have been called out on strikes on 616 occasions (18th in MLB) and have a total of 584 hits. New York has recorded 79 long balls this season and 292 RBIs. The Mets hold a team SLG% of .373 and they average 4.08 runs per contest (24th in the league). They have recorded 95 doubles, while taking a walk 217 times as well as scoring 306 runs.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.268 in addition to having a FIP of 3.82 as a team for the season. They are sitting at 7th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 581. The New York pitching staff have relinquished 321 runs on the season while having an ERA of 3.92 (292 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.20 (682 strikeouts vs 269 walks). They have allowed 72 dingers and they give up 4.31 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB).

They are currently ranked 21st in the league with a save rate of 59.1%, and they have sent 228 relievers to the mound this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 88 times in high leverage situations in addition to 77 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 51 save situations, the Mets have 29 holds and 9 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 22 save opportunities and they have walked away with 13 saves. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.0% of 100 inherited base runners.

In their 6,036 innings played, the Mets are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.3% (14th in the majors). The New York Mets have gotten 42 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in professional baseball). The Mets have racked up 615 assists, 41 errors and have amassed 2,012 putouts on the season.

During his career, Senga has given up 250 hits while he has accumulated 348 strikeouts in 309 innings. Senga (20-18 career mark) has a 3.47 earned run average and has conceded 7.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 119 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.294 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.32 and he has faced 1,310 batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+106)

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