Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, June 23, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-196) New York (+162)

The New York Mets (34-43) will compete against the Chicago Cubs (40-37) at Citi Field on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has Chicago at -196 while New York opens at +162. The over/under is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Edward Cabrera and Nolan McLean.

As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are earning 4.8 runs per game, which has them sitting at 8th in the league. They have a total of 366 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .337. The Cubs have compiled 118 doubles as a team and have smacked 90 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 339 RBI's as well as 639 hits on the year, and their batting average is at .244. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .401 and have been rung up 636 times, while drawing a walk on 338 occasions.

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The Cubs hold a team ERA of 4.28 this season (17th in the league), and the staff has rung up 602 hitters. Cubs pitchers have surrendered 113 home runs in addition to 345 total runs (16th in baseball). They have walked 231 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.62 as a unit on the campaign. Chicago has given up 615 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 325 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.61 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Cubs have sent 245 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relievers have inherited 109 runners over the course of the season and 30.3% of those players crossing the plate. The bullpen have recorded 23 holds so far this season (30th in the league). Cubs bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 76 times in addition to having 71 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 11 saves on the campaign and have blown 12 out of their 23 chances to save the game. The Cubs bullpen have a save percentage of 47.8% and have entered the game in 49 save situations.

The Chicago Cubs have accounted for 2,050 putouts on the year, as well as 712 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding rate is at .989 which has them sitting 6th in MLB, and they have turned 50 double plays. The Cubs have converted 72.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,150 innings, which has them ranked 2nd in baseball.

Cabrera has taken the ball for 498 frames and has accounted for 539 strikeouts so far in his career. Cabrera (29-33 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.16 while he has faced 2,131 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.23 (234 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.322. He has given up 418 hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) with 241 free passes.

The New York Mets hold an on-base percentage of .297 in addition to a team batting average of .232 this season. They have struck out on 638 instances (17th in the league) and have tallied 598 base hits. New York has 82 long balls on the year to go along with 297 runs batted in. The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .372 and they average 4.04 runs per contest (26th in baseball). They have tallied 95 two-baggers, while walking 221 times and putting up 311 runs.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.281 and have a FIP of 3.90 as a team over the course of the season. They come in at 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 606. The New York pitching staff have conceded 342 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.08 (311 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.10 (695 strikeouts vs 273 free passes). They have given up 78 homers and they surrender 4.49 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league).

New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.6% of 104 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 88 times in high leverage situations and on 79 occasions with runners on. With 51 save situations, the Mets have 29 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. They rank 20th in baseball holding a save percentage of 59.1%, and they have sent 234 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the season.

The New York Mets have gotten 43 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in MLB). The Mets have recorded 629 assists, 44 errors and have a tally of 2,060 putouts for the year. In 6,180 innings played, the Mets have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.0% (15th in the majors).

During his MLB career, McLean has allowed 93 base hits while he has accumulated 154 strikeouts in 131 frames. McLean (9-5 career mark) has earned a 3.09 earned run average while allowing 6.4 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 45 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.076 and having a FIP of 3.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.21 and he has faced 532 batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chicago (-196)

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