Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/25/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-150) New York (+125)

The New York Mets (34-44) host the Chicago Cubs (41-37) at Citi Field on Thursday. The line on this matchup has the Cubs at -150 and the Mets are coming in at +125. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Matthew Boyd and Freddy Peralta.

As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are recording 4.8 runs per game, which puts them at 8th in the league. They have notched a total of 375 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .338. The Cubs have tallied 121 doubles as a team and have hit 92 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 348 runs batted in and 647 hits on the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .244. Chicago has a slugging % of .403 and have been called out on strikes 645 times, while taking a walk on 345 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.57 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. Cubs pitchers have allowed 115 long balls in addition to 351 runs in total (14th in the league). Chicago has conceded 621 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 331 earned runs. The Cubs hold a team earned run average of 4.30 on the year (19th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 612 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 238 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.64 as a squad this year.

The Cubs have dispatched 249 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 109 base runners on the campaign with 30.3% of those runners earned a run for their team. The relievers are sitting with 23 holds on the year (30th in baseball). Cubs pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 76 times and also have had 71 appearances in high leverage situations. They have 11 saves on the season and have blown 12 of 23 save opportunities. The Cubs relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 47.8% and stepped onto the hill in 49 save situations.

The Cubs have turned 72.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,231 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 2nd in the majors. The Chicago Cubs have amassed 2,077 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 719 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .989 which is 5th in baseball, and they have turned 51 double plays.

Boyd has pitched in 1,112 frames and has accounted for 1,076 strikeouts thus far in his career. His earned run average is 4.61 (569 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.277. He has surrendered 1,078 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) with 342 free passes. Boyd (62-78 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.54 and he has faced 4,714 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Mets have a slugging percentage of .372 and they score 4.06 runs per contest (26th in baseball). They have 95 doubles, while walking 228 times and putting up 317 runs. New York is sitting with 84 HRs so far this season and 303 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 648 occasions (19th in MLB) and have totaled 604 hits. The New York Mets are sitting with an OBP of .298 and a batting average of .231 on the season.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 351 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 4.14 (320 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 80 home runs and they relinquish 4.54 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball). The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.286 in addition to having a FIP of 3.94 as a staff over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (704 strikeouts against 280 walks). They are sitting at 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 614.

New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.3% out of their 105 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 88 times in high leverage situations in addition to 80 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 51 save situations, the Mets have accumulated 29 holds and 9 blown saves. They are ranked 20th in baseball holding a save rate of 59.1%, and they have sent 237 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the year.

The New York Mets have gotten 43 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (21st in the majors). The Mets have 638 assists, 45 errors and have accumulated 2,087 putouts on the campaign. In 6,261 innings on the diamond, the Mets hold a efficiency on defense of 70.0% (15th in MLB).

In his career, Peralta has given up 779 hits while accumulating 1,236 punch outs in 1,016 frames. Peralta (75-48 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.69 ERA while conceding 6.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 417 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.154 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.14 and he has gone up against 4,229 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chicago (-150)

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