Chicago Cubs vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 5/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Texas Rangers

Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-152) Texas (+126)

Globe Life Field is the location where the Texas Rangers (17-20) will try to defeat the Chicago Cubs (26-12) on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Cubs at -152 and the Rangers are priced at +126. The betting total is set at 9. The men taking the mound are Jameson Taillon and Jacob deGrom.

As a team, the Chicago Cubs are knocking in 5.5 runs per outing, which has them at 3rd in the league. They have 208 runs scored while having a team OBP of .353. The Cubs have accounted for 59 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 50 balls out of the park. They have 191 RBI's in addition to 335 hits so far this season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .258. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .429 and have been rung up 302 times, while taking a walk on 179 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.70 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.20. Cubs pitchers have yielded 47 home runs and also 158 runs in total (10th in the league). Chicago has surrendered 291 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 145 earned runs. The Cubs have a team earned run average of 3.83 on the season (8th in the league), and their staff has struck out 319 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 118 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.19 as a unit on the season.

The Cubs have sent 114 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 55 runners on the season with 30.9% of them crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have tallied 9 holds on the year (30th in the league). Cubs pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 39 times as well as having 39 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 9 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 6 of their 15 save opportunities. The Cubs relievers have earned a save percentage of 60.0% and have come into the game in 26 save situations.

The Cubs have converted 72.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of 3,069 innings on the field, which has them ranked 4th in baseball. The Chicago Cubs have a tally of 1,023 putouts thus far, in addition to 343 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which has them sitting 19th in the majors, and have accumulated 24 double plays.

Taillon (84-61 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.82 while he has gone up against 5,292 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,214 base hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 308 walks. His ERA is 3.88 (551 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.192. Taillon has thrown 1,277 frames and has tallied 1,109 punch outs in his career.

The Rangers have a SLG% of .372 and they are recording 3.76 runs per game (28th in MLB). They have 56 doubles, while taking a walk 137 times as well as scoring 139 runs. Texas has knocked in 34 home runs so far this year as well as 132 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 332 occasions (8th in the league) and have earned a total of 289 hits. The Texas Rangers are sitting with an on-base percentage of .317 and a batting average of .236 so far this year.

The Texas pitching staff have given up 145 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.85 (138 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 43 home runs and they relinquish 4.05 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Rangers have a WHIP of 1.245 in addition to having a FIP of 4.09 as a staff this season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.90 (319 strikeouts vs 114 walks). They are currently ranked 8th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 287.

Texas bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.7% out of their 52 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 38 times in high leverage situations and on 34 occasions with runners on. With 36 save situations, the Rangers have accumulated 22 holds and 4 blown saves. They rank 8th in the league holding a save percentage of 69.2%, and they have sent 122 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Texas Rangers have turned 23 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (9th in baseball). The Rangers have accrued 278 assists, 15 errors and have accumulated 968 putouts this year. In their 2,904 innings played, the Rangers hold a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (8th in the majors).

So far in his career, deGrom has allowed 1,203 base knocks and he has 1,898 punch outs in 1,576 frames. He has given up a total of 453 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 0.987 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 5.38 and he has gone up against 6,195 hitters during his pro baseball career. deGrom (98-67 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 2.59 earned run average while conceding 6.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Texas (+126)

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