Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 7/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+102) Cleveland (-122)

Progressive Field is the site where the Cleveland Guardians (46-42) will attempt to defeat the Chicago White Sox (45-41) on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has Chicago at +102 and Cleveland is at -122. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Erick Fedde and Tanner Bibee.

The White Sox have accrued 128 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 120 balls out of the park. Chicago is slugging .417 and have been rung up 777 times, while taking a walk on 296 occasions. As a squad, the Chicago White Sox are putting up 4.8 runs per contest, which has them at 8th in the league. They have accrued 397 runs batted in and 696 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is .242. They are sitting with 415 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .322.

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The White Sox have a team ERA of 4.26 for the year (18th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 716 hitters. White Sox pitchers have allowed 93 long balls and 391 runs in total (17th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 334 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.32 as a team over the course of the season. Chicago has surrendered 684 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 360 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.14 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.34.

The White Sox relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 56.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 69 save situations. They have compiled 23 saves on the season and have blown 18 out of their 41 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 142 base runners on the season with 29.6% of those players crossing the plate. White Sox pitchers have entered the game with runners on 94 times as well as having 86 appearances in high leverage situations. The White Sox have sent 291 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have racked up 28 holds for the season (30th in MLB).

The Chicago White Sox have earned a total of 2,283 putouts for the season, as well as 713 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding rate is at .986 which has them sitting 14th in MLB, and have a total of 61 double plays. The White Sox have transformed 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,849 innings, ranking them 12th in the majors.

Fedde (37-61 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.82 while going up against 3,712 hitters in the majors. He has conceded 883 base hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 343 free passes. His ERA is 4.89 (463 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.440. Fedde has pitched in 851 innings and has earned 642 punch outs during his career.

The Guardians hold a team slugging percentage of .368 and they score 3.99 runs per contest (27th in MLB). They have tallied 139 two-baggers, while getting a free base 328 times and racking up 351 runs. Cleveland is sitting with 81 home runs on the year as well as 334 runs batted in. They have struck out on 713 instances (20th in the league) and have earned a total of 663 hits. The Cleveland Guardians have compiled a team on-base percentage of .312 as well as a batting average of .229 for the year.

The Guardians are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.261 in addition to having a FIP of 3.96 as a squad on the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.20 (798 strikeouts against 286 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 695. They have yielded 101 homers and they concede 4.14 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). The Cleveland pitching staff have surrendered 358 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.78 (327 earned runs given up).

They are currently ranked 2nd in the league with a save rate of 78.4%, and they have sent 287 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 105 times in high leverage situations in addition to 83 occasions with runners on. With 112 save situations, the Guardians have 74 holds and also 8 blown saves. Cleveland has had relievers step onto the hill in 37 save chances and they have walked away with 29 saves. Cleveland bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 24.0% out of 125 inherited runners.

The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 64 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in pro baseball). The Guardians have racked up 710 assists, 44 errors and have a tally of 2,334 putouts on the season. Out of their 7,002 innings on the diamond, the Guardians have a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (14th in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Bibee has conceded 527 base hits while earning 573 K's in 600 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 242 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.165 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.33 and he has faced 2,468 hitters during his career. Bibee (36-32 record in his career) has earned a 3.63 ERA while allowing 7.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+102)

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