Chicago White Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 3/31/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago White Sox vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+220) Miami (-275)

The Miami Marlins (3-0) will go up against the Chicago White Sox (0-3) at LoanDepot Park on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has the White Sox at +220 while the Marlins are sitting at -275. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Erick Fedde and Janson Junk.

Chicago has a slugging rate of .423 and have struck out 43 times, while taking a walk on 14 occasions. They have recorded 10 runs batted in and 20 base knocks over the course of the season, and their batting average is sitting at .206. The White Sox have earned 3 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 6 baseballs out of the stadium. They have racked up 10 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .306. As a team, the Chicago White Sox are knocking in 3.3 runs per game, which puts them at 22nd in MLB.

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The White Sox have a team ERA of 10.13 so far this season (30th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 24 batters. White Sox pitchers have given up 4 home runs and also 29 total runs (30th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 22 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 6.06 as a unit for the season. Chicago has surrendered 35 base hits (13.1 per 9 innings) and 27 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 1.09 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 2.38.

The bullpen pitchers have inherited 13 base runners on the year and 30.8% of those runners earned a run for their team. White Sox relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 6 times and also have had 1 appearance in high leverage situations. The White Sox have dispatched 15 relievers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have no holds so far this year (24th in baseball).

The White Sox have converted 58.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 216 innings, ranking them 30th in MLB. The Chicago Cubs have accounted for 72 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 27 assists and 2 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .980 which has them ranked 23rd in pro baseball, and have a total of 0 double plays.

Fedde has thrown 772 innings and has earned 589 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Fedde (34-55 career record) holds a FIP of 4.87 while he has gone up against 3,361 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.94 (424 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.440. He has given up 802 base knocks (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 310 free passes.

Miami has 2 home runs this season as well as 10 RBIs. They have put up 7 two-baggers, while taking a walk 8 times as well as notching 10 runs. The Miami Marlins are sitting with an on-base percentage of .355 in addition to a team batting average of .280 on the season. The Marlins hold a slugging % of .419 and they are scoring 3.33 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They have been rung up on 19 occasions (26th in baseball) and are sitting with 26 hits.

The Miami pitching staff have allowed 7 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 2.00 (6 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 2 long balls and they yield 2.33 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Marlins have a team WHIP of 0.889 in addition to having a FIP of 2.55 as a squad this year. Their K/BB ratio is 10.00 (30 strikeouts vs 5 bases on balls). They rank 6th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 19.

Their relief pitchers have come in 5 times in high leverage situations and also on 1 occasion with base runners. They rank 5th in MLB holding a save percentage of 100.0%, and they have dispatched 8 relievers onto the field on the campaign.

In their 243 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (14th in the majors). The Miami Marlins have gotten 1 double plays and have a fielding rate of .961 (28th in MLB). The Marlins have recorded 17 assists, 4 errors and are sitting with 81 putouts on the campaign.

Thus far in his career, Junk has surrendered 172 hits and he has 111 strikeouts in 150 innings. He has allowed a total of 81 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.307 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.63 and he has faced 636 opposing hitters during his career. Junk (7-7 career mark) has a 4.86 earned run average while conceding 10.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami (-275) and under 8.5 runs

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