Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/31/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Friday, July 31, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+132) Tampa Bay (-160)

The Tampa Bay Rays (63-44) are welcoming the Chicago White Sox (56-51) at Tropicana Field on Friday. The odds on this game have the White Sox at +132 while the Rays are coming in at -160. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Erick Fedde and Nick Martinez.

The White Sox have accounted for 167 doubles as a squad and have knocked 139 balls out of the stadium. Chicago has a slugging % of .408 and have struck out 961 times, while being walked on 361 occasions. As a unit, the Chicago White Sox are scoring 4.8 runs per contest, which has them at 7th in the league. They have earned 492 RBI's as well as 857 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate is at .239. They are sitting with 514 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .317.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.31 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30. White Sox pitchers have allowed 115 home runs and also 472 runs in total (11th in baseball). Chicago has conceded 846 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 436 earned runs. The White Sox are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.13 on the year (11th in the league), and their staff has rung up 912 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 395 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.21 as a squad so far this year.

The White Sox bullpen have recorded a save rate of 58.3% and stepped onto the hill in 87 save situations. They have earned 28 saves over the course of the season and have blown 20 out of their 48 save chances. The relievers have inherited 169 runners on the season with 33.1% of those runners ended up scoring. White Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 114 times in addition to having 108 appearances in high leverage situations. The White Sox have sent 362 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen have a total of 39 holds so far this year (28th in baseball).

The Chicago White Sox are sitting with 2,853 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 880 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which has them sitting 17th in the majors, and have earned 76 double plays. The White Sox have converted 70.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of 8,559 innings on the field, which has them ranked 12th in MLB.

Fedde has taken the ball for 869 innings and is sitting with 657 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.87 (470 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.436. He has given up 902 base hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 346 walks. Fedde (39-61 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.79 and he has faced 3,784 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated a team OBP of .330 as well as a batting average of .258 so far this year. They have struck out on 773 occasions (30th in baseball) and have earned 922 hits. Tampa Bay has hit 107 home runs so far this year to go along with 454 RBIs. The Rays hold a team SLG% of .402 and they score 4.47 runs per game (14th in the league). They have hit 156 doubles, while walking 357 times and putting up 478 runs.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have yielded 436 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.71 (392 earned runs given up). They have relinquished 130 dingers and they yield 4.13 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.155 in addition to having a FIP of 4.08 as a squad this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.10 (861 strikeouts vs 281 free passes). They rank 4th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 817.

Sitting with 138 save situations, the Rays have accrued 82 holds and 14 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 56 save opportunities and they have earned 42 saves. Tampa Bay relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.7% out of their 122 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 99 times in high leverage situations and also on 84 occasions with runners on. They are currently ranked 4th in baseball holding a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have sent 335 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

In 8,559 innings on the field, the Rays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 72.1% (2nd in the majors). The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 71 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in baseball). The Rays have accrued 853 assists, 63 errors and have amassed 2,853 putouts on the season.

In his pro baseball career, Martinez has given up 1,044 base hits and he has 737 punch outs in 1,057 innings pitched. He has conceded 466 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.280 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.39 and he has gone up against 4,460 hitters during his MLB career. Martinez (58-61 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.97 earned run average while surrendering 8.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-160)

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