Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 8/29/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+106) Chicago (-128)

The Chicago Cubs (76-58) are hosting the Cincinnati Reds (63-71) at Wrigley Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Reds at +106 while the Cubs open at -128. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Andrew Abbott and Kevin Gausman.

The Reds have hit 190 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 173 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .392 and have struck out 1,272 times, while drawing a walk on 479 occasions. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.1 runs per game, which has them at 24th in baseball. They have earned 524 runs batted in in addition to 1,010 base knocks for the season, while their batting average is sitting at .227. They are sitting with 548 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .306.

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The Reds hold a team earned run average of 4.55 this season (24th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,079 batters. Reds pitchers have conceded 167 long balls and 648 runs (24th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 551 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.66 as a squad this season. Cincinnati has given up 1,131 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and also 601 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.96 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.41.

The Reds have sent 468 relievers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 207 base runners so far this year and 28.5% of those players earned a run for their team. The relief pitchers have accumulated 73 holds so far this season (13th in MLB). Reds bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 143 times as well as having 164 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 34 saves for the year and have missed out on 21 of their 55 save opportunities. The Reds relievers have a save percentage of 61.8% and stepped onto the hill in 131 save situations.

The Cincinnati Reds have amassed 3,567 putouts this season, as well as 1,079 assists and 73 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which has them sitting 19th in the majors, and have earned 92 double plays. The Reds have converted 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 10,701 innings, ranking them 13th in baseball.

Abbott (34-32 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.56 and he has faced 2,359 batters in the majors. He has given up 511 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) with 207 walks. His ERA is 3.61 (224 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.286. Abbott has taken the mound for 558 frames and has 497 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Chicago Cubs hold an OBP of .338 in addition to a team batting average of .249 on the campaign. They have been called out on strikes on 1,148 instances (9th in MLB) and have totaled 1,144 base hits. Chicago has accumulated 177 home runs so far this season as well as 656 runs batted in. The Cubs have a team SLG% of .422 and they score 5.19 runs per contest (1st in the league). They have hit 225 doubles, while getting a free base 568 times as well as putting up 695 runs.

The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.250 and have a FIP of 4.66 as a pitching staff this season. They rank 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,096. The Chicago pitching staff have given up 576 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 4.09 (544 earned runs allowed). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 7.70 (1,025 strikeouts vs 400 walks). They have conceded 198 homers and they allow 4.33 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball).

With 106 save situations, the Cubs have compiled 49 holds and also 22 blown saves. Chicago has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 51 save chances and they have earned 29 saves. Chicago relievers hold an inherited score rate of 30.4% of 181 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 129 times in high leverage situations in addition to 132 occasions with runners on. They are currently ranked 24th in the league holding a save percentage of 56.9%, and they have dispatched 429 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this year.

In their 10,779 innings on the diamond, the Cubs have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 72.2% (2nd in professional baseball). The Chicago Cubs have gotten 103 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in baseball). The Cubs have racked up 1,269 assists, 49 errors and have amassed 3,593 putouts on the season.

In his MLB career, Gausman has given up 1,856 hits while totaling 1,976 punch outs in 1,934 frames. Gausman (114-114 career mark) has earned a 3.82 earned run average and has surrendered 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has given up 821 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.239 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.66 and he has gone up against 8,079 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Chicago (-128) and under 8.5 runs

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