Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 4/9/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-275) Miami (+220)

LoanDepot Park is the location where the Miami Marlins (6-4) will try to beat the Cincinnati Reds (7-3) on Thursday. The odds on this game have Cincinnati at -275 and Miami is at +220. The over/under has been set at 8. The starting pitchers are Rhett Lowder and Max Meyer.

Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .333 and have been called out on strikes 95 times, while being walked on 37 occasions. They have tallied 27 RBI's in addition to 70 base knocks on the year, and their team batting average sits at .210. The Reds have tallied 9 doubles as a team and have knocked 10 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 28 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .290. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 2.8 runs per game, which has them at 29th in MLB.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.41 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.17. Reds pitchers have allowed 10 home runs and 30 total runs (3rd in baseball). Cincinnati has relinquished 69 base hits (6.8 per 9 innings) and 30 earned runs. The Reds have a team earned run average of 2.93 this season (5th in the league), and they have rung up 94 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 39 batters and their FIP sits at 3.92 as a squad this year.

The Reds bullpen have recorded a save rate of 75.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 21 save situations. They have compiled 6 saves so far this year and have missed out on 2 of 8 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 16 runners on the campaign and 12.5% of those players crossing the plate. Reds pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 12 times as well as having 21 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 39 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers are sitting with 13 holds over the course of the season (1st in MLB).

The Chicago White Sox have accounted for 276 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 83 assists and no errors. Their fielding percentage sits at 1.000 which ranks 1st in professional baseball, and they have turned 8 double plays. The Reds have turned 74.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 828 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 3rd in MLB.

Lowder has taken the mound for 41 innings and is sitting with 31 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 1.31 (6 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.189. He has allowed 31 hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) with 18 free passes. Lowder (3-2 career mark) has earned a FIP of 1.29 while going up against 171 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Miami Marlins hold an on-base percentage of .335 and a team batting average of .260 so far this year. They have struck out on 77 occasions (27th in MLB) and have accounted for 85 hits. Miami is sitting with 8 home runs this season to go along with 48 RBIs. The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .416 and they average 4.90 runs per contest (7th in MLB). They have 19 doubles, while taking a walk 31 times and racking up 49 runs.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.170 with a FIP of 3.94 as a unit so far this season. They come in at 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 62. The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 43 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.89 (38 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.60 (94 strikeouts against 41 free passes). They have allowed 9 homers and they allow 4.40 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league).

They are ranked 11th in the league holding a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 29 relief pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 9 times in high leverage situations and on 5 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 8 save situations, the Marlins have compiled 3 holds in addition to 1 blown save. Miami has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 4 save chances and they have come away with 3 saves. Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.6% of 7 inherited base runners.

Out of their 792 innings played, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 73.6% (5th in the majors). The Miami Marlins have gotten 3 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .976 (26th in baseball). The Marlins have accrued 68 assists, 8 errors and have earned a total of 264 putouts for the season.

In his pro baseball career, Meyer has surrendered 149 hits while he has earned 131 K's in 136 innings. He has conceded a total of 80 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.430 and a FIP of 5.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.85 and he has gone up against 603 batters so far in his MLB career. Meyer (6-11 career win-loss record) has earned a 5.28 earned run average while giving up 9.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-275)

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