Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Wednesday, July 1, 2026
Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI
TV: Brewers.TV
Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+162) Milwaukee (-196)
American Family Field is the site where the Milwaukee Brewers (51-31) will attempt to defeat the Cincinnati Reds (39-44) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has Cincinnati at +162 while Milwaukee is sitting at -196. The over/under is 8. The expected starting pitchers are Andrew Abbott and Shane Drohan.

The Reds have accumulated 134 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 101 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati is slugging .389 and have been rung up 783 times, while drawing a walk on 313 occasions. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.3 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 19th in the league. They have amassed 334 runs batted in in addition to 634 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is at .228. They have tallied 353 runs scored and hold an OBP of .310.
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Their K/BB ratio is 1.78 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.46. Reds pitchers have allowed 116 home runs in addition to 406 runs (21st in MLB). Cincinnati has given up 704 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 377 earned runs. The Reds are sitting with a team ERA of 4.59 so far this year (24th in baseball), and they have rung up 669 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 375 batters and their FIP sits at 5.02 as a team on the campaign.
The Reds have dispatched 301 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 136 base runners this year with 25.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. The relievers have recorded 49 holds for the season (11th in baseball). Reds pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 98 times in addition to having 107 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 20 saves so far this year and have blown 17 of their 37 chances to save the game. The Reds relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 54.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 87 save situations.
The Cincinnati Reds have a total of 2,220 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 679 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which has them sitting 18th in pro baseball, and have a total of 61 double plays. The Reds have converted 70.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,660 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 13th in MLB.
Abbott has thrown 503 innings and has tallied 453 K's in his career. Abbott (33-27 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.45 while he has faced 2,119 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.51 (196 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.274. He has surrendered 462 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 179 walks.
The Brewers hold a slugging % of .395 and they are recording 5.16 runs per outing (4th in the league). They have put up 141 doubles, while taking a walk 345 times as well as scoring 423 runs. Milwaukee has accounted for 76 home runs so far this season and 399 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 674 occasions (24th in the league) and have 704 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have tallied a team OBP of .337 as well as a batting average of .253 so far this year.
The Brewers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.183 in addition to having a FIP of 3.53 as a staff this season. They come in at 2nd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 592. The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 301 runs this year while holding an ERA of 3.40 (278 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.90 (810 strikeouts against 278 free passes). They have given up 78 long balls and they allow 3.68 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league).
They are ranked 15th in the league with a save rate of 65.0%, and they have dispatched 250 relief pitchers onto the field this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 83 times in high leverage situations in addition to 67 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 80 save situations, the Brewers have accrued 39 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 40 save opportunities and they have converted 26 saves. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.1% out of their 97 inherited runners.
The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 63 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in pro baseball). The Brewers have accrued 625 assists, 33 errors and have 2,207 putouts during this campaign. In 6,621 innings on the diamond, the Brewers hold a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (6th in baseball).
Drohan (3-2 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.12 earned run average while giving up 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.06 and he has gone up against 218 batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 18 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.231 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.1. In his career, Drohan has allowed 47 base hits while he has tallied 52 strikeouts in 52 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+162)
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Additional Resources:
Milwaukee Brewers - Twitter
Cincinnati Reds - Twitter
