Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Friday, September 11, 2026

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Brewers.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+110) Milwaukee (-130)

American Family Field is where the Milwaukee Brewers (91-56) will compete against the Cincinnati Reds (69-77) on Friday. The moneyline on this game has the Reds at +110 and the Brewers are priced at -130. The over/under has been set at 8. The men taking the mound are Andrew Abbott and Shane Drohan.

The Reds have hit 203 doubles as a squad and have hit 196 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati is slugging .397 and have been rung up 1,396 times, while being walked on 520 occasions. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 25th in MLB. They have earned 583 RBI's as well as 1,116 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .230. They have accounted for 611 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .308.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 1.97 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.43. Reds pitchers have surrendered 188 long balls and 733 total runs (27th in the league). Cincinnati has relinquished 1,252 base knocks (8.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 680 earned runs. The Reds have a team ERA of 4.73 for the season (27th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,186 batters. They have walked 602 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.73 as a unit this season.

The Reds have sent 517 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 229 runners so far this season and 28.4% of those players earned a run for their team. The bullpen have tallied 81 holds so far this season (12th in MLB). Reds pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 154 times as well as having 176 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 39 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 22 of 61 save opportunities. The Reds relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 63.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 145 save situations.

The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated 3,879 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,168 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them sitting 21st in professional baseball, and have earned 99 double plays. The Reds have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs in their 11,637 innings on the field, which has them ranked 17th in the majors.

Abbott (34-33 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.64 and he has faced 2,393 hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 522 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 209 walks. His ERA is 3.69 (232 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.293. Abbott has taken the ball for 565 innings and has totaled 503 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for an on-base percentage of .339 and a team batting average of .257 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 1,238 occasions (14th in MLB) and have earned 1,280 base hits. Milwaukee has recorded 137 long balls for the season as well as 701 runs batted in. The Brewers have a team SLG% of .400 and they average 5.05 runs per game (3rd in baseball). They have put up 255 two-baggers, while taking a walk 609 times as well as scoring 742 runs.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.186 and have a FIP of 3.72 as a staff this season. They rank 3rd in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,081. The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 570 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 3.55 (517 earned runs yielded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.60 (1,406 strikeouts against 475 walks). They have yielded 156 homers and they concede 3.91 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB).

Sitting with 141 save situations, the Brewers have earned 76 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 64 save chances and they have earned 46 saves. Milwaukee relievers have an inherited score percentage of 39.4% out of their 170 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 143 times in high leverage situations in addition to 117 occasions with runners on. They rank 6th in baseball with a save rate of 71.9%, and they have sent 453 relievers to the hill for the year.

In their 11,814 innings on the diamond, the Brewers are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.0% (8th in baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 111 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (10th in professional baseball). The Brewers have accrued 1,153 assists, 67 errors and have earned a total of 3,938 putouts on the season.

Drohan (7-5 career mark) is the owner of a 4.10 earned run average while surrendering 8.8 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.95 and he has gone up against 484 opposing hitters in his MLB career. He has allowed 52 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.315 and a FIP of 4.0. In his MLB career, Drohan has surrendered 111 base hits while tallying 115 punch outs in 114 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-130)

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