Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/25/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, May 25, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+106) New York (-128)

Citi Field is the site where the New York Mets (22-30) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (27-25) on Monday. The odds on this game have the Reds at +106 and the Mets are priced at -128. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Nick Lodolo and Nolan McLean.

Cincinnati has a slugging % of .393 and have struck out 475 times, while being walked on 200 occasions. They have accumulated 216 runs batted in and 396 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate sits at .227. The Reds have earned 80 doubles as a unit and have knocked 66 balls out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 229 runs scored and hold an OBP of .310. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.4 runs per contest, which puts them at 13th in baseball.

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The Reds are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.78 on the season (25th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 402 hitters. Reds pitchers have given up 72 home runs and 263 total runs (25th in the league). They have walked 244 opposing players and their FIP sits at 5.10 as a team on the season. Cincinnati has surrendered 439 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 247 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 1.65 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.47.

The Reds have dispatched 194 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 76 base runners on the season with 30.3% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The bullpen have racked up 39 holds for the season (4th in the league). Reds pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 56 times as well as having 65 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 13 saves so far this year and have missed out on 10 out of their 23 save opportunities. The Reds relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 56.5% and stepped onto the hill in 63 save situations.

The Reds have converted 71.0% of balls in play into outs in their 4,188 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 8th in baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have earned a total of 1,396 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 438 assists and 23 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .988 which has them ranked 12th in MLB, and have accumulated 48 double plays.

Lodolo has taken the hill for 424 innings and has earned 467 punch outs during his career. His earned run average is 4.18 (197 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.223. He has given up 393 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 126 free passes. Lodolo (24-23 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.12 while he has faced 1,809 batters in the majors.

The New York Mets have accumulated an OBP of .293 in addition to a team batting average of .228 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 414 occasions (22nd in the league) and have earned a total of 397 base hits. New York has compiled 46 home runs so far this season as well as 196 RBIs. The Mets hold a team slugging percentage of .352 and they average 3.96 runs per contest (25th in the league). They have hit 68 two-baggers, while getting a free base 153 times and putting up 206 runs.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.278 and have a FIP of 3.64 as a unit on the year. They have a ranking of 13th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 409. The New York pitching staff have yielded 223 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.84 (199 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.30 (481 strikeouts vs 188 free passes). They have given up 45 HR's and they yield 4.30 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball).

Sitting with 32 save situations, the Mets have accrued 18 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 14 save chances and they have come away with 8 saves. New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 37.5% out of their 72 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 68 times in high leverage situations in addition to 55 occasions with runners on. They are ranked 23rd in baseball with a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have sent 152 relievers onto the diamond this year.

The New York Mets have turned 30 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in pro baseball). The Mets have racked up 425 assists, 28 errors and are sitting with 1,401 putouts this season. In 4,203 innings played, the Mets have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (22nd in pro baseball).

So far in his MLB career, McLean has given up 77 hits while he has totaled 126 strikeouts in 106 frames. He has surrendered 34 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.038 and having a FIP of 2.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.82 and he has gone up against 422 hitters in his MLB career. McLean (7-4 career win-loss record) has a 2.89 ERA and has conceded 6.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+106)

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