Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+106) New York (-128)

The Cincinnati Reds (28-25) are en route to Citi Field on Tuesday where they will meet the New York Mets (22-32). The moneyline on this game has the Reds at +106 and the Mets are at -128. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Chase Burns and David Peterson.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.4 runs per game, which has them at 13th in MLB. They have earned a total of 229 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .310. The Reds have tallied 80 doubles as a team and have smacked 66 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 216 RBI's and 396 hits this year, and their batting average is at .227. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .393 and have struck out 475 times, while drawing a walk on 200 occasions.

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The Reds have a team ERA of 4.78 on the campaign (25th in MLB), and they have rung up 402 batters. Reds pitchers have surrendered 72 home runs and 263 runs (25th in MLB). They have walked 244 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 5.09 as a squad so far this year. Cincinnati has surrendered 439 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 247 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.65 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.47.

Reds relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 56 times in addition to having 64 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have tallied 39 holds for the season (6th in the league). The Reds bullpen have a save percentage of 56.5% and have come into the game in 63 save situations. They have 13 saves this season and have blown 10 of their 23 save chances. The relievers have inherited 76 base runners so far this year and 30.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Reds have dispatched 194 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Reds have turned 71.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 4,188 innings, ranking them 8th in baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have 1,396 putouts for the season, as well as 438 assists and 23 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which has them ranked 11th in MLB, and they have turned 48 double plays.

Burns has pitched in 102 frames and has earned 131 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Burns (6-4 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 2.95 while he has faced 415 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.00 (34 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.107. He has surrendered 79 hits (7.0 hits per 9 innings) with 34 walks.

The Mets hold a team slugging % of .349 and they are scoring 3.89 runs per game (26th in MLB). They have notched 68 two-baggers, while getting a free base 158 times and recording 206 runs. New York is sitting with 46 home runs on the year to go along with 196 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 422 occasions (23rd in the league) and have recorded 402 hits. The New York Mets have accumulated an OBP of .293 in addition to a batting average of .226 so far this year.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.286 and have a FIP of 3.66 as a team on the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.20 (487 strikeouts against 193 walks). They are currently ranked 12th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 418. They have surrendered 46 homers and they give up 4.30 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have relinquished 227 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.85 (203 earned runs surrendered).

They are currently ranked 23rd in MLB with a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have sent 156 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 71 times in high leverage situations and on 57 occasions with runners on base. With 32 save situations, the Mets have amassed 18 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 14 save opportunities and they have tallied 8 saves. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 36.5% of 74 inherited base runners.

In 4,278 innings played, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (23rd in MLB). The New York Mets have turned 30 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (20th in baseball). The Mets have accrued 434 assists, 28 errors and have amassed 1,426 putouts this season.

Peterson (40-34 career record) is the owner of a 4.19 earned run average while giving up 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.35 and he has gone up against 2,896 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has conceded 312 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.387 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. During his career, Peterson has conceded 648 hits and he has 663 punch outs in 670 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+106)

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