Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, May 27, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+150) New York (-182)

Citi Field is where the New York Mets (22-32) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (28-25) on Wednesday. The odds on this game have the Reds at +150 and the Mets are opening at -182. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Andrew Abbott and Jonah Tong.

The Reds have hit 82 doubles as a squad and have smacked 68 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati is slugging .393 and have been called out on strikes 490 times, while being walked on 204 occasions. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, which ranks them 13th in baseball. They have 222 RBI's and 402 base knocks on the year, and their team batting average is at .226. They have earned 236 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .310.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.70 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.46. Reds pitchers have conceded 73 home runs and 265 runs (25th in the league). Cincinnati has relinquished 448 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 249 earned runs. The Reds have an ERA of 4.72 on the campaign (25th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 414 batters. They have walked 244 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 5.03 as a squad over the course of the season.

Reds relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 56 times as well as having 64 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 39 holds this year (6th in the league). The Reds relievers have earned a save percentage of 56.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 63 save situations. They have compiled 13 saves so far this year and have blown 10 of their 23 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 76 base runners on the campaign and 30.3% of those runners ended up scoring. The Reds have dispatched 198 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Reds have turned 70.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 4,269 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 9th in professional baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have a total of 1,423 putouts so far this season, as well as 450 assists and 23 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .988 which has them sitting 9th in professional baseball, and have earned 48 double plays.

Abbott (32-25 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.44 and he has faced 1,976 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 432 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 165 walks. His ERA is 3.49 (182 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.272. Abbott has taken the hill for 469 innings and is sitting with 421 punch outs so far in his career.

The Mets have a SLG% of .350 and they are earning 3.85 runs per contest (26th in MLB). They have put up 69 doubles, while walking 158 times and recording 208 runs. New York has hit 47 home runs on the year to go along with 198 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 434 occasions (20th in the league) and have notched a total of 411 base knocks. The New York Mets have an OBP of .293 as well as a batting average of .227 on the year.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 234 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.90 (210 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 48 HR's and they surrender 4.35 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.283 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.67 as a team for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (502 strikeouts against 197 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 13th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 424.

They are ranked 23rd in the league with a save rate of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 159 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 71 times in high leverage situations and also on 59 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 32 save situations, the Mets have earned 18 holds and 6 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 14 save chances and they have walked away with 8 saves. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 35.5% out of 76 inherited base runners.

In their 4,359 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (22nd in baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 30 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in baseball). The Mets have accrued 443 assists, 28 errors and are sitting with 1,453 putouts so far this year.

Tong (2-3 career record) has a 6.79 earned run average while allowing 10.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.40 and he has faced 96 batters in his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 16 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.604 and being the owner of a FIP of 6.7. During his MLB career, Tong has surrendered 24 base knocks while he has earned 24 K's in 21 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+150)

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