Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction, 6/20/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, June 20, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+106) New York (-128)

Yankee Stadium is the site where the New York Yankees (45-28) will play the Cincinnati Reds (35-38) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Cincinnati at +106 while New York is sitting at -128. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Andrew Abbott and Will Warren.

Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .395 and have been rung up 679 times, while drawing a walk on 284 occasions. They have accounted for 293 RBI's and 558 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .228. The Reds have recorded 114 doubles as a unit and have hit 94 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 311 runs scored and have an OBP of .312. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are earning 4.3 runs per outing, which ranks them 18th in the league.

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The Reds have a team ERA of 4.65 on the year (25th in the league), and they have struck out 573 batters. Reds pitchers have allowed 99 long balls in addition to 363 total runs (22nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 333 batters and their FIP comes in at 5.02 as a squad so far this year. Cincinnati has allowed 625 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) as well as 337 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 1.72 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.47.

The Reds have sent 267 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 115 runners for the season with 27.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The relievers have tallied 46 holds over the course of the season (9th in baseball). Reds relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 82 times as well as having 91 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 17 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 15 of 32 save chances. The Reds relievers have recorded a save percentage of 53.1% and have come into the game in 79 save situations.

The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated 1,956 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 608 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which is 19th in pro baseball, and have earned 57 double plays. The Reds have transformed 70.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 5,868 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 13th in professional baseball.

Abbott has pitched in 492 innings and has accumulated 441 strikeouts thus far in his career. Abbott (32-27 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.46 and he has faced 2,072 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.51 (192 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.271. He has given up 451 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 175 walks.

New York has 110 long balls so far this year as well as 364 runs batted in. They have hit 119 doubles, while taking a walk 310 times and scoring 381 runs. The New York Yankees are sitting with an OBP of .332 as well as a batting average of .246 so far this season. The Yankees hold a team SLG% of .442 and they earn 5.22 runs per outing (4th in MLB). They have struck out on 633 occasions (12th in baseball) and have accounted for 597 base hits.

The New York pitching staff have given up 263 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.35 (241 earned runs conceded). They have given up 67 long balls and they relinquish 3.65 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB). The Yankees are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.179 with a FIP of 3.67 as a unit on the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.80 (631 strikeouts vs 225 free passes). They rank 4th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 539.

Sitting with 67 save situations, the Yankees have recorded 36 holds and 12 blown saves. New York has had relievers step onto the hill in 30 save chances and they have walked away with 18 saves. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.1% out of their 129 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 89 times in high leverage situations and also on 82 occasions with base runners. They rank 20th in the league with a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 236 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The New York Yankees have gotten 52 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (9th in MLB). The Yankees have accrued 659 assists, 32 errors and have a tally of 1,945 putouts on the campaign. In their 5,835 innings on the diamond, the Yankees have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.6% (4th in the majors).

Warren (16-12 career mark) has earned a 4.69 earned run average while giving up 9.1 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.79 and he has gone up against 1,133 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 134 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.400 and a FIP of 4.6. So far in his pro baseball career, Warren has conceded 261 base hits while tallying 276 punch outs in 257 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-128)

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