Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction, 6/21/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, June 21, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+162) New York (-196)

The Cincinnati Reds (35-39) are traveling to Yankee Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the New York Yankees (46-28). The odds on this game have the Reds at +162 and the Yankees are priced at -196. The total comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Chase Burns and Gerrit Cole.

The Reds have recorded 115 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 94 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati has a slugging % of .392 and have been called out on strikes 696 times, while taking a walk on 285 occasions. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are compiling 4.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 19th in the league. They have compiled 293 RBI's and 562 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average sits at .227. They have earned a total of 311 runs and have an OBP of .310.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 1.71 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.47. Reds pitchers have allowed 101 long balls and also 368 total runs (22nd in the league). Cincinnati has allowed 633 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 342 earned runs. The Reds are sitting with a team ERA of 4.66 for the season (24th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 579 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 338 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 5.04 as a unit for the season.

The Reds relievers have a save rate of 53.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 79 save situations. They have tallied 17 saves on the season and have blown 15 out of their 32 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 116 runners for the season with 26.7% of them crossing home plate. Reds relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 83 times as well as having 91 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 269 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The bullpen have earned 46 holds on the year (9th in MLB).

The Reds have converted 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 5,940 innings on the field, which ranks them 13th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have amassed 1,980 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 616 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which puts them in 19th in professional baseball, and have a total of 58 double plays.

Burns (8-4 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 2.88 and he has gone up against 507 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 97 base hits (7.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 42 walks. His earned run average is 2.92 (40 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.127. Burns has pitched in 123 innings and has earned 162 punch outs during his career.

The New York Yankees have an OBP of .333 and a team batting average of .246 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 639 occasions (12th in the league) and have 605 base hits. New York has knocked in 112 home runs this season to go along with 369 RBIs. The Yankees hold a slugging % of .442 and they are recording 5.22 runs per game (4th in the league). They have hit 120 doubles, while taking a walk 315 times as well as putting up 386 runs.

The New York pitching staff have allowed 263 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.30 (241 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 67 HR's and they relinquish 3.60 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.170 with a FIP of 3.62 as a team this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (648 strikeouts vs 226 free passes). They are currently ranked 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 543.

New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.1% of 129 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 89 times in high leverage situations and also on 82 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 67 save situations, the Yankees have 36 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. They are currently ranked 20th in the league with a save rate of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 239 relievers to the hill for the season.

The New York Yankees have turned 53 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (10th in professional baseball). The Yankees have accrued 663 assists, 33 errors and have a tally of 1,972 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 5,916 innings played, the Yankees have a defensive efficiency of 71.6% (4th in professional baseball).

During his career, Cole has surrendered 1,647 base knocks while totaling 2,275 K's in 1,982 frames. Cole (155-81 career record) has a 3.17 earned run average and has given up 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 698 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.087 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.48 and he has faced 7,973 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+162)

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