Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/19/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, May 19, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+150) Philadelphia (-182)

Citizens Bank Park is the site where the Philadelphia Phillies (23-23) will compete against the Cincinnati Reds (24-22) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this matchup has Cincinnati at +150 while Philadelphia is at -182. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Chase Burns and Jesus Luzardo.

Cincinnati is slugging .392 and have struck out 429 times, while taking a walk on 184 occasions. They have 191 RBI's in addition to 356 hits so far this year, and their batting average is .226. The Reds have hit 71 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 61 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 204 runs while having a team OBP of .312. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.3 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 17th in baseball.

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The Reds have an ERA of 4.81 on the year (26th in the league), and they have rung up 365 batters. Reds pitchers have given up 63 home runs and 239 runs (25th in the league). They have walked 221 hitters and their FIP is 5.04 as a unit on the campaign. Cincinnati has given up 404 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 224 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.65 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.49.

The Reds relievers have earned a save rate of 57.1% and have entered the game in 54 save situations. They have tallied 12 saves this year and have blown 9 of their 21 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 72 base runners on the season and 31.9% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Reds bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 52 times and also have had 59 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 177 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 32 holds on the campaign (5th in MLB).

The Reds have turned 70.4% of balls in play into outs in their 3,774 innings on the diamond, ranking them 14th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have earned a total of 1,258 putouts on the year, as well as 402 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .989 which puts them in 8th in the majors, and have earned 42 double plays.

Burns has taken the mound for 96 frames and has earned 122 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Burns (5-4 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.04 and he has gone up against 395 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.09 (33 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.145. He has surrendered 76 base hits (7.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 34 walks.

The Philadelphia Phillies have an on-base percentage of .302 and a team batting average of .235 so far this season. They have struck out on 389 occasions (15th in MLB) and have earned 378 hits. Philadelphia has 57 home runs on the year as well as 195 RBIs. The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .394 and they score 4.23 runs per game (21st in the league). They have 68 doubles, while taking a walk 139 times and notching 199 runs.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.357 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.47 as a pitching staff so far this season. They sit at 29th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 436. The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 216 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.22 (197 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.70 (452 strikeouts against 134 bases on balls). They have relinquished 46 dingers and they relinquish 4.63 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league).

Sitting with 30 save situations, the Phillies have 15 holds and 4 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers take the mound in 15 save chances and they have converted 11 saves. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.6% out of 57 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 41 times in high leverage situations and on 48 occasions with base runners. They rank 5th in the league with a save rate of 73.3%, and they have dispatched 162 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

Out of their 3,783 innings played, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 65.5% (30th in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 28 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in pro baseball). The Phillies have accrued 414 assists, 22 errors and have accounted for 1,261 putouts for the year.

In his pro baseball career, Luzardo has allowed 681 hits while tallying 836 K's in 744 innings pitched. Luzardo (44-44 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.26 earned run average and has surrendered 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 352 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.251 and having a FIP of 4.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.34 and he has gone up against 3,117 opposing batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-182) and under 8.5 runs

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