Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/20/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, May 20, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+106) Philadelphia (-128)

The Philadelphia Phillies (23-23) will compete against the Cincinnati Reds (24-22) at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has Cincinnati at +106 and Philadelphia is at -128. The betting total is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Andrew Abbott and Aaron Nola.

As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are earning 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have accumulated 204 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .312. The Reds have hit 71 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 61 baseballs out of the park. They have 191 runs batted in in addition to 356 hits so far this season, while their average at the plate is at .226. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .392 and have been called out on strikes 429 times, while drawing a walk on 184 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 1.65 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.49. Reds pitchers have surrendered 63 long balls and also 239 runs (25th in baseball). Cincinnati has given up 404 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 224 earned runs. The Reds hold a team earned run average of 4.81 so far this year (26th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 365 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 221 opposing hitters and their FIP is 5.04 as a team on the year.

Reds bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 52 times in addition to having 59 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 32 holds for the year (5th in baseball). The Reds relief pitchers have a save percentage of 57.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 54 save situations. They have earned 12 saves this year and have not converted 9 of their 21 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 72 runners on the campaign and 31.9% of those players earned a run for their team. The Reds have dispatched 177 relievers to the hill for the season.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned a total of 1,258 putouts on the campaign, as well as 402 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .989 which has them sitting 8th in baseball, and have accumulated 42 double plays. The Reds have turned 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 3,774 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 14th in professional baseball.

Abbott (31-25 career mark) has a FIP of 3.46 while going up against 1,954 hitters in the majors. He has given up 429 base knocks (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has 162 walks. His ERA is 3.51 (181 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.273. Abbott has taken the ball for 464 innings and has totaled 418 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

The Phillies have a team slugging % of .394 and they are earning 4.23 runs per game (21st in the league). They have hit 68 two-baggers, while taking a walk 139 times and scoring 199 runs. Philadelphia is sitting with 57 home runs for the year to go along with 195 runs batted in. They have struck out on 389 occasions (15th in the league) and have totaled 378 base knocks. The Philadelphia Phillies have compiled a team on-base percentage of .302 and a batting average of .235 this year.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 216 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 4.22 (197 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 46 HR's and they relinquish 4.63 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.357 in addition to having a FIP of 3.47 as a pitching staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.70 (452 strikeouts vs 134 walks). They rank 29th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 436.

They sit at 5th in the league with a save percentage of 73.3%, and they have sent 162 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 41 times in high leverage situations and on 48 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 30 save situations, the Phillies have earned 15 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 15 save chances and they have walked away with 11 saves. Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.6% of 57 inherited base runners.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 28 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in professional baseball). The Phillies have 414 assists, 22 errors and have 1,261 putouts during this campaign. In their 3,783 innings on the field, the Phillies have earned a efficiency on defense of 65.5% (30th in the majors).

In his pro baseball career, Nola has allowed 1,575 hits while he has tallied 1,922 strikeouts in 1,760 frames. He has given up a total of 760 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.160 and having a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 4.12 and he has faced 7,240 batters during his MLB career. Nola (111-92 career record) holds a 3.89 earned run average while allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+106)

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