Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 6/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Friday, June 26, 2026

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+106) Pittsburgh (-128)

The Cincinnati Reds (37-42) are on their way to PNC Park on Friday where they will try to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-40). The moneyline on this contest has Cincinnati at +106 and Pittsburgh opens at -128. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Andrew Abbott and Paul Skenes.

As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are knocking in 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 21st in MLB. They have earned a total of 331 runs scored while having a team OBP of .309. The Reds have accrued 128 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 97 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 313 RBI's as well as 599 hits so far this year, and their average at the plate sits at .226. Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .389 and have been called out on strikes 745 times, while drawing a walk on 302 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 1.77 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.45. Reds pitchers have surrendered 105 home runs in addition to 381 runs in total (21st in MLB). Cincinnati has yielded 667 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 354 earned runs. The Reds have an earned run average of 4.51 on the campaign (23rd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 630 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 356 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.93 as a unit on the year.

The Reds have dispatched 286 relievers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 122 runners so far this season with 26.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have recorded 48 holds for the season (10th in the league). Reds relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 89 times in addition to having 98 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 18 saves this year and have blown 15 out of their 33 chances to get a save. The Reds relievers have earned a save rate of 54.5% and have come into the game in 82 save situations.

The Reds have turned 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,354 innings, which has them ranked 12th in baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have a tally of 2,118 putouts this season, in addition to 649 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which has them ranked 18th in pro baseball, and have a total of 59 double plays.

Abbott (33-27 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.44 while facing 2,095 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 456 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 178 free passes. His earned run average is 3.49 (193 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.275. Abbott has taken the hill for 497 innings and has earned 447 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have accumulated a team OBP of .336 in addition to a team batting average of .257 on the season. They have struck out on 737 occasions (4th in the league) and have earned a total of 712 hits. Pittsburgh is sitting with 94 long balls for the season to go along with 386 RBIs. The Pirates have a slugging percentage of .411 and they have an average of 5.05 runs per contest (5th in baseball). They have 127 two-baggers, while getting a free base 299 times as well as earning 404 runs.

The Pirates have a team WHIP of 1.297 in addition to having a FIP of 3.87 as a team so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.20 (733 strikeouts against 289 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 14th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 640. They have relinquished 77 dingers and they relinquish 4.79 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 381 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.12 (328 earned runs surrendered).

They are currently ranked 26th in baseball holding a save rate of 51.5%, and they have dispatched 253 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 70 times in high leverage situations in addition to 74 occasions with base runners. With 69 save situations, the Pirates have 35 holds and 16 blown saves. Pittsburgh has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 33 save chances and they have come away with 17 saves. Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.4% out of 102 inherited base runners.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 59 double plays and have a fielding rate of .982 (27th in pro baseball). The Pirates have 638 assists, 51 errors and have a total of 2,150 putouts on the campaign. In their 6,450 innings on the field, the Pirates hold a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (25th in baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Skenes has surrendered 294 base knocks and he has 493 strikeouts in 408 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 98 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 0.946 and a FIP of 2.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.36 and he has gone up against 1,597 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Skenes (27-20 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 2.16 earned run average while allowing 6.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-128)

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