Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 6/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+132) Pittsburgh (-160)

PNC Park is the site where the Pittsburgh Pirates (41-40) will meet the Cincinnati Reds (37-42) on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Reds at +132 and the Pirates are coming in at -160. The total comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Chase Burns and Jared Jones.

The Reds have accrued 128 doubles as a team and have hit 97 balls out of the park. Cincinnati is slugging .389 and have been called out on strikes 745 times, while taking a walk on 302 occasions. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 21st in the league. They have accounted for 313 runs batted in in addition to 599 hits on the year, and their batting average comes in at .226. They have earned a total of 331 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .309.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 1.77 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.45. Reds pitchers have yielded 105 long balls and 381 runs in total (20th in baseball). Cincinnati has allowed 667 base knocks (8.5 per 9 innings) and 354 earned runs. The Reds are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.51 for the season (23rd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 630 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 356 hitters and their FIP is 4.93 as a unit this season.

Reds bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 89 times as well as having 98 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 48 holds on the season (10th in MLB). The Reds relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 54.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 82 save situations. They have accumulated 18 saves this year and have blown 15 of their 33 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 122 runners so far this year and 26.2% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Reds have sent 286 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Cincinnati Reds have a tally of 2,118 putouts this season, in addition to 649 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .985 which puts them in 17th in the majors, and they have turned 59 double plays. The Reds have converted 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,354 innings on the diamond, ranking them 12th in MLB.

Burns (9-4 career record) sits with a FIP of 2.83 while facing 528 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 102 base hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 45 walks. His earned run average is 2.88 (41 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.146. Burns has taken the hill for 128 innings and has racked up 169 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have recorded an OBP of .335 in addition to a batting average of .257 for the season. They have struck out on 750 occasions (2nd in baseball) and have notched a total of 720 base hits. Pittsburgh has knocked in 96 home runs so far this year to go along with 391 RBIs. The Pirates have a slugging percentage of .411 and they have an average of 5.05 runs per game (4th in MLB). They have notched 128 two-baggers, while taking a walk 300 times as well as notching 409 runs.

The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.298 in addition to having a FIP of 3.87 as a squad for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.20 (740 strikeouts vs 295 walks). They have a ranking of 14th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 646. They have allowed 77 home runs and they surrender 4.74 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have given up 382 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.08 (329 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 72 save situations, the Pirates have recorded 38 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. Pittsburgh has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 33 save chances and they have converted 17 saves. Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 29.9% of 107 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 73 times in high leverage situations and also on 77 occasions with runners on base. They sit at 26th in baseball with a save rate of 51.5%, and they have sent 257 relievers to the mound for the season.

In 6,531 innings played, the Pirates hold a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (23rd in baseball). The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 60 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in professional baseball). The Pirates have recorded 647 assists, 52 errors and have earned 2,177 putouts so far this year.

Jones (7-9 career record) is the owner of a 4.39 earned run average and has conceded 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.26 and he has gone up against 594 hitters thus far in his career. He has conceded 69 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.246 and a FIP of 4.3. Thus far in his career, Jones has surrendered 129 base knocks while tallying 153 K's in 141 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-160) and under 9 runs

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