Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 6/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+162) Pittsburgh (-196)

The Cincinnati Reds (37-42) are en route to PNC Park on Sunday where they will go up against the Pittsburgh Pirates (41-40). The line on this contest has the Reds at +162 while the Pirates are coming in at -196. The betting total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Brady Singer and Mitch Keller.

Cincinnati is slugging .389 and have struck out 745 times, while being walked on 302 occasions. They have accrued 313 RBI's as well as 599 base knocks this season, while their batting average comes in at .226. The Reds have accumulated 128 doubles as a squad and have hit 97 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 331 runs scored and have an OBP of .309. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are compiling 4.2 runs per outing, which puts them at 21st in baseball.

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The Reds hold a team ERA of 4.51 on the campaign (23rd in the league), and they have rung up 630 batters. Reds pitchers have given up 105 home runs in addition to 381 runs in total (20th in the league). They have walked 356 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.93 as a team this year. Cincinnati has conceded 667 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 354 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.77 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.45.

The Reds relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 54.5% and have entered the game in 82 save situations. They have compiled 18 saves for the year and have blown 15 out of their 33 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 122 base runners on the campaign and 26.2% of those players earned a run for their team. Reds pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 89 times as well as having 98 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 286 relievers to the mound on the season. The relievers have accumulated 48 holds for the season (10th in the league).

The Reds have converted 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,354 innings, ranking them 12th in MLB. The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated 2,118 putouts this season, as well as 649 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which has them sitting 17th in pro baseball, and have a total of 59 double plays.

Singer (53-62 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.21 while he has gone up against 3,979 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has given up 930 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) with 299 walks. His earned run average is 4.28 (441 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.324. Singer has thrown 928 innings and has accounted for 867 strikeouts in his career.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have compiled an on-base percentage of .335 and a team batting average of .257 for the year. They have been rung up on 750 instances (2nd in baseball) and have notched a total of 720 hits. Pittsburgh is sitting with 96 HRs for the year as well as 391 RBIs. The Pirates have a slugging percentage of .411 and they average 5.05 runs per outing (4th in the league). They have recorded 128 doubles, while taking a walk 300 times as well as scoring 409 runs.

The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.298 with a FIP of 3.87 as a squad over the course of the season. They come in at 14th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 646. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have conceded 382 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.08 (329 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.20 (740 strikeouts vs 295 free passes). They have surrendered 77 HR's and they allow 4.74 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball).

They are ranked 26th in baseball with a save rate of 51.5%, and they have dispatched 257 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 73 times in high leverage situations and also on 77 occasions with runners on. With 72 save situations, the Pirates have 38 holds and 16 blown saves. Pittsburgh has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 33 save opportunities and they have walked away with 17 saves. Pittsburgh relievers have an inherited score percentage of 29.9% out of their 107 inherited base runners.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 60 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in MLB). The Pirates have accrued 647 assists, 52 errors and have accounted for 2,177 putouts over the course of the season. In their 6,531 innings on the field, the Pirates have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (23rd in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, Keller has conceded 999 hits while he has tallied 906 K's in 966 frames. He has conceded 488 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.377 and having a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.74 and he has gone up against 4,197 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Keller (47-70 career mark) is the owner of a 4.55 ERA while giving up 9.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-196)

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