Cincinnati Reds vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 7/20/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Monday, July 20, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+125) Seattle (-145)

The Cincinnati Reds (44-53) are on their way to T-Mobile Park on Monday where they will take on the Seattle Mariners (49-50). The line on this matchup has the Reds at +125 while the Mariners are priced at -145. The total is 9. The expected starting pitchers are Andrew Abbott and George Kirby.

Cincinnati is slugging .398 and have struck out 913 times, while drawing a walk on 353 occasions. They have 386 runs batted in in addition to 751 hits for the year, and their team batting average sits at .231. The Reds have accumulated 150 doubles as a unit and have knocked 125 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 405 runs scored while having a team OBP of .310. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, which has them at 23rd in MLB.

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The Reds have compiled a team ERA of 4.56 this season (23rd in the league), and the staff has struck out 784 hitters. Reds pitchers have surrendered 129 long balls and also 467 runs in total (20th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 427 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.88 as a team for the year. Cincinnati has allowed 814 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 437 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.84 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.44.

The Reds bullpen have earned a save percentage of 55.3% and have stepped onto the mound in 90 save situations. They have tallied 21 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 17 of 38 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 152 base runners on the year with 27.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Reds pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 109 times and also have had 114 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 345 relievers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen have earned 51 holds so far this season (16th in baseball).

The Reds have transformed 70.4% of balls in play into outs out of 7,767 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 12th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have amassed 2,589 putouts so far this season, as well as 795 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which has them ranked 17th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 71 double plays.

Abbott has taken the ball for 518 frames and has earned 467 strikeouts in his career. His earned run average is 3.56 (205 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.279. He has surrendered 476 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has 187 walks. Abbott (33-28 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.51 while he has faced 2,186 batters during his time in the majors.

The Seattle Mariners have recorded a team OBP of .309 and a team batting average of .227 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 853 occasions (11th in the league) and have 741 hits. Seattle has accumulated 116 home runs on the year and 382 runs batted in. The Mariners have a team slugging % of .375 and they are recording 4.00 runs per contest (28th in baseball). They have 121 two-baggers, while walking 331 times as well as recording 396 runs.

The Seattle pitching staff have conceded 386 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 3.62 (352 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 94 dingers and they allow 3.97 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The Mariners have a team WHIP of 1.184 in addition to having a FIP of 3.56 as a staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.70 (846 strikeouts against 247 walks). They sit at 13th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 790.

Seattle relievers have an inherited score percentage of 29.2% of 96 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 103 times in high leverage situations and also on 70 occasions with base runners. With 91 save situations, the Mariners have tallied 53 holds and also 15 blown saves. They rank 20th in the league holding a save percentage of 59.5%, and they have dispatched 295 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this year.

The Seattle Mariners have turned 85 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in pro baseball). The Mariners have racked up 804 assists, 52 errors and have earned a total of 2,629 putouts for the year. In their 7,887 innings played, the Mariners are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (19th in pro baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Kirby has surrendered 737 base hits and he has 719 punch outs in 747 innings pitched. He has allowed 300 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.143 and a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 6.15 and he has faced 3,057 batters in his career. Kirby (52-42 career record) has a 3.61 ERA and has given up 8.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (-145)

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