Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 7/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Cardinals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-132) St. Louis (+110)

The Cincinnati Reds (48-54) are traveling to Busch Stadium on Sunday where they will meet the St. Louis Cardinals (52-51). The moneyline on this game has the Reds at -132 and the Cardinals are priced at +110. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Andrew Abbott and Kyle Leahy.

Cincinnati is slugging .400 and have been called out on strikes 948 times, while drawing a walk on 368 occasions. They have 408 RBI's and 788 base knocks this year, while their batting average is at .230. The Reds have tallied 154 doubles as a unit and have smacked 135 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 427 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .309. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.2 runs per outing, which puts them at 23rd in baseball.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.87 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.42. Reds pitchers have surrendered 136 long balls in addition to 488 runs (21st in the league). Cincinnati has allowed 850 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 457 earned runs. The Reds have compiled a team earned run average of 4.53 over the course of the season (23rd in baseball), and the staff has struck out 824 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 440 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.85 as a unit for the year.

The Reds have dispatched 363 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 159 base runners on the year with 27.0% of them crossing home plate. The relief pitchers have a total of 58 holds for the year (12th in baseball). Reds bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 114 times in addition to having 121 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 24 saves so far this season and have blown 17 of their 41 save opportunities. The Reds relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 58.5% and have entered the game in 100 save situations.

The Cincinnati Reds have notched a total of 2,721 putouts thus far, as well as 831 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which is 18th in MLB, and have accumulated 72 double plays. The Reds have transformed 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,163 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 11th in the majors.

Abbott has taken the hill for 524 innings and has earned 473 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.52 (205 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.276. He has given up 480 base hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) with 189 free passes. Abbott (33-29 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.47 and he has faced 2,210 hitters in the majors.

St. Louis has tallied 110 HRs for the season as well as 444 RBIs. They have recorded 138 two-baggers, while taking a walk 330 times as well as earning 456 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .316 and a batting average of .240 this year. The Cardinals hold a slugging percentage of .382 and they are recording 4.43 runs per game (16th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 797 occasions (27th in the league) and have totaled 825 base hits.

The St. Louis pitching staff have surrendered 462 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.18 (426 earned runs given up). They have surrendered 102 homers and they surrender 4.53 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball). The Cardinals have a WHIP of 1.341 in addition to having a FIP of 4.15 as a team on the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.70 (781 strikeouts vs 346 free passes). They are sitting at 23rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 885.

With 122 save situations, the Cardinals have amassed 69 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. St. Louis has had relief pitchers enter the game in 50 save chances and they have earned 31 saves. St. Louis bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 35.6% of 163 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 122 times in high leverage situations in addition to 111 occasions with runners on base. They rank 16th in the league with a save percentage of 62.0%, and they have sent 348 relievers onto the diamond on the season.

In 8,265 innings on the field, the Cardinals have a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in baseball). The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 94 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in professional baseball). The Cardinals have accrued 961 assists, 46 errors and have earned a total of 2,755 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his career, Leahy has allowed 220 base knocks while accumulating 194 punch outs in 233 innings pitched. He has given up 94 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.269 and having a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.55 and he has faced 977 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. Leahy (12-8 record in his career) holds a 3.63 ERA while giving up 8.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take St. Louis (+110)

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