Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+132) Toronto (-160)

The Cincinnati Reds (74-85) are headed to Rogers Centre on Sunday where they will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (77-82). The odds on this game have the Reds at +132 while the Blue Jays are coming in at -160. The over/under is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Brandon Williamson and Spencer Miles.

Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .395 and have struck out 1,514 times, while taking a walk on 549 occasions. They have 625 runs batted in as well as 1,206 base knocks on the year, and their batting average is .228. The Reds have tallied 215 doubles as a squad and have hit 211 balls out of the park. They have earned 655 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .305. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.1 runs per contest, which puts them at 26th in MLB.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.94 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.45. Reds pitchers have surrendered 212 home runs in addition to 814 runs (28th in MLB). Cincinnati has allowed 1,381 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 759 earned runs. The Reds have an ERA of 4.85 on the campaign (28th in the league), and they have struck out 1,273 batters. They have walked 657 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.82 as a team over the course of the season.

Reds pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 162 times as well as having 187 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 88 holds for the year (12th in the league). The Reds bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 65.6% and have come into the game in 156 save situations. They have earned 42 saves this year and have not converted 22 out of their 64 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 241 base runners for the year with 27.0% of those players crossing the plate. The Reds have dispatched 565 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Reds have turned 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,675 innings, ranking them 19th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have notched a total of 4,225 putouts for the season, as well as 1,274 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them ranked 20th in MLB, and have earned 112 double plays.

Williamson has pitched in 180 innings and has accumulated 143 punch outs during his MLB career. Williamson (10-9 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.47 and he has gone up against 765 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.54 (91 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.303. He has given up 164 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) with 71 free passes.

The Blue Jays have a team slugging percentage of .382 and they tally 4.00 runs per contest (30th in the league). They have recorded 251 doubles, while walking 448 times as well as earning 636 runs. Toronto has a total of 150 long balls on the campaign to go along with 604 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,129 occasions (29th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,327 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for an on-base percentage of .310 and a team batting average of .248 over the course of the season.

The Toronto pitching staff have surrendered 683 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.92 (613 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 165 long balls and they relinquish 4.36 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.295 in addition to having a FIP of 4.00 as a pitching staff this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.80 (1,380 strikeouts vs 586 free passes). They are sitting at 7th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,239.

With 177 save situations, the Blue Jays have accrued 104 holds and 17 blown saves. Toronto has called on relievers to enter the contest in 68 save chances and they have earned 51 saves. Toronto bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.9% of 247 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 190 times in high leverage situations and also on 169 occasions with runners on base. They sit at 3rd in baseball with a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have sent 595 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 107 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in the majors). The Blue Jays have accrued 1,334 assists, 97 errors and have accounted for 4,227 putouts for the year. In 12,681 innings on the field, the Blue Jays have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (12th in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Miles has surrendered 78 base knocks while accumulating 91 K's in 94 frames. He has allowed 27 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.083 and a FIP of 2.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.79 and he has faced 381 batters in his pro baseball career. Miles (6-2 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 2.58 earned run average and has conceded 7.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-160)

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