Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-160) Miami (+132)

The Cleveland Guardians (48-46) are headed to LoanDepot Park on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Miami Marlins (52-42). The line on this contest has the Guardians at -160 and the Marlins are at +132. The total comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Tanner Bibee and Eury Perez.

Cleveland is slugging .369 and have been called out on strikes 784 times, while being walked on 348 occasions. They have 356 RBI's and 705 hits so far this year, while their team batting average sits at .228. The Guardians have recorded 144 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 90 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 373 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .310. As a team, the Cleveland Guardians are recording 4.0 runs per contest, which puts them at 29th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.74 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.27. Guardians pitchers have surrendered 107 home runs and also 382 runs in total (8th in baseball). Cleveland has yielded 743 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and 349 earned runs. The Guardians are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.78 on the year (8th in MLB), and they have struck out 849 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 310 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.97 as a squad this year.

The Guardians have dispatched 315 relievers to the hill for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 140 base runners for the season and 23.6% of those runners ended up scoring. The relief pitchers have tallied 75 holds on the season (1st in MLB). Guardians bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 90 times as well as having 118 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 30 saves so far this year and have not converted 9 out of their 39 chances to save the game. The Guardians relievers have recorded a save rate of 76.9% and have come into the game in 115 save situations.

The Cleveland Guardians have a tally of 2,495 putouts for the season, in addition to 748 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which puts them in 16th in professional baseball, and they have turned 64 double plays. The Guardians have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,485 innings, which has them sitting at 15th in the majors.

Bibee has taken the hill for 604 innings and has accounted for 574 K's during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.69 (248 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.169. He has given up 533 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 173 free passes. Bibee (36-32 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.64 while he has gone up against 2,487 hitters in the majors.

Miami has 95 home runs for the season as well as 417 RBIs. They have notched 162 doubles, while taking a walk 323 times and scoring 434 runs. The Miami Marlins hold an on-base percentage of .332 and a batting average of .255 so far this season. The Marlins have a SLG% of .413 and they earn 4.62 runs per contest (11th in baseball). They have been rung up on 757 occasions (21st in the league) and have notched a total of 798 hits.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.242 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.01 as a team over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (789 strikeouts against 320 walks). They come in at 5th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 707. They have surrendered 92 homers and they allow 4.39 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Miami pitching staff have given up 403 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 4.03 (370 earned runs surrendered).

Miami bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 20.0% out of 120 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 89 times in high leverage situations in addition to 81 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 91 save situations, the Marlins have 55 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. They are ranked 15th in MLB holding a save rate of 67.6%, and they have sent 302 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 64 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in the majors). The Marlins have 764 assists, 58 errors and have earned 2,481 putouts on the campaign. In their 7,443 innings on the diamond, the Marlins hold a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (7th in the majors).

So far in his MLB career, Perez has surrendered 196 base knocks and he has 302 strikeouts in 265 innings. He has given up a total of 111 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.096 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.18 and he has faced 1,082 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Perez (17-18 career mark) has earned a 3.76 earned run average while giving up 6.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+132)

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