Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/12/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-128) Miami (+106)

The Miami Marlins (52-43) host the Cleveland Guardians (49-46) at LoanDepot Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have Cleveland at -128 and Miami is at +106. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Joey Cantillo and Ryan Gusto.

The Guardians have earned 144 doubles as a team and have smacked 91 baseballs out of the stadium. Cleveland owns a slugging percentage of .368 and have been called out on strikes 793 times, while drawing a walk on 348 occasions. As a team, the Cleveland Guardians are earning 4.0 runs per game, which is 29th in MLB. They have amassed 359 RBI's and 710 base knocks on the season, and their average at the plate is .227. They have accounted for 376 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .309.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.70 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.26. Guardians pitchers have conceded 109 home runs in addition to 384 runs (8th in the league). Cleveland has surrendered 747 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 351 earned runs. The Guardians have a team ERA of 3.76 this year (8th in the league), and their staff has struck out 852 hitters. They have walked 315 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.00 as a squad for the year.

The Guardians relievers have earned a save percentage of 77.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 119 save situations. They have earned 31 saves for the year and have blown 9 of their 40 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 141 runners so far this season with 23.4% of them earned a run for their team. Guardians pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 91 times and also have had 122 appearances in high leverage situations. The Guardians have dispatched 319 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have a total of 78 holds over the course of the season (1st in the league).

The Cleveland Guardians have 2,522 putouts thus far, in addition to 759 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which is 16th in pro baseball, and have a total of 65 double plays. The Guardians have converted 70.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,566 innings on the field, ranking them 14th in MLB.

Cantillo has taken the hill for 230 innings and has totaled 248 K's in his career. His ERA is 3.68 (94 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.317. He has surrendered 199 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 104 walks. Cantillo (14-11 career record) holds a FIP of 3.62 while he has gone up against 972 opposing batters in the majors.

The Miami Marlins have tallied an OBP of .331 and a team batting average of .254 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 760 occasions (22nd in MLB) and have accounted for 802 base hits. Miami has hit 97 home runs so far this year as well as 419 RBIs. The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .413 and they score 4.59 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have notched 162 doubles, while taking a walk 328 times and scoring 436 runs.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.234 and have a FIP of 3.99 as a staff on the year. They come in at 4th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 712. The Miami pitching staff have allowed 406 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.02 (373 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.60 (798 strikeouts vs 320 free passes). They have conceded 93 homers and they surrender 4.37 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball).

They are currently ranked 15th in baseball with a save rate of 67.6%, and they have dispatched 303 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 89 times in high leverage situations and on 81 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 91 save situations, the Marlins have earned 55 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. Miami has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 34 save opportunities and they have tallied 23 saves. Miami bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 20.0% of 120 inherited runners.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 64 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in pro baseball). The Marlins have accrued 772 assists, 58 errors and have earned a total of 2,508 putouts this season. In 7,524 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (8th in baseball).

During his MLB career, Gusto has conceded 143 base knocks and he has 120 punch outs in 127 frames. He has given up a total of 79 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.485 and a FIP of 5.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.61 and he has gone up against 574 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Gusto (7-9 career record) is the owner of a 5.59 ERA while conceding 10.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+106)

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