Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/24/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+126) Philadelphia (-152)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (25-25) will take on the Cleveland Guardians (30-22) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has Cleveland at +126 and Philadelphia is at -152. The over/under is 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Parker Messick and Andrew Painter.

The Guardians have accumulated 82 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 53 balls out of the park. Cleveland has a slugging % of .377 and have struck out 388 times, while taking a walk on 225 occasions. As a unit, the Cleveland Guardians are scoring 4.4 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 15th in the league. They have amassed 218 runs batted in in addition to 391 hits on the year, while their batting average sits at .230. They have accumulated 228 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .324.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.70 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26. Guardians pitchers have surrendered 59 home runs in addition to 205 total runs (10th in the league). Cleveland has conceded 402 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 188 earned runs. The Guardians hold a team earned run average of 3.67 on the campaign (8th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 484 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 179 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.94 as a team so far this season.

Guardians relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 49 times as well as having 61 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 45 holds for the year (1st in MLB). The Guardians relief pitchers have a save rate of 82.6% and have stepped onto the mound in 69 save situations. They have tallied 19 saves for the season and have missed out on 4 out of their 23 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 78 runners on the year with 24.4% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Guardians have dispatched 171 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Cleveland Guardians have earned 1,384 putouts for the season, in addition to 395 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .989 which has them ranked 7th in pro baseball, and have earned 38 double plays. The Guardians have turned 70.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 4,152 innings on the field, which has them sitting 13th in the majors.

Messick has pitched in 97 innings and is sitting with 102 punch outs thus far in his career. His ERA is 2.59 (28 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.150. He has allowed 89 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) with 23 free passes. Messick (8-2 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 2.55 and he has faced 391 batters during his time in the majors.

Philadelphia has hit 62 long balls on the year as well as 205 runs batted in. They have tallied 71 doubles, while taking a walk 149 times as well as putting up 209 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with a team OBP of .300 as well as a team batting average of .231 on the year. The Phillies hold a slugging % of .393 and they are earning 4.18 runs per contest (19th in the league). They have struck out on 413 occasions (17th in the league) and have a total of 392 hits.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.355 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.46 as a pitching staff for the season. They sit at 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 464. The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 233 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.31 (214 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.60 (476 strikeouts against 142 walks). They have allowed 48 dingers and they concede 4.69 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball).

They rank 7th in baseball holding a save percentage of 70.6%, and they have sent 173 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this season. Their relievers have come in 46 times in high leverage situations and also on 51 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 32 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 15 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 17 save opportunities and they have converted 12 saves. Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of their 63 inherited base runners.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 31 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (15th in baseball). The Phillies have recorded 435 assists, 24 errors and have a total of 1,342 putouts on the season. In their 4,026 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 65.5% (30th in MLB).

So far in his career, Painter has allowed 51 hits and he has 37 strikeouts in 43 innings pitched. Painter (1-4 win-loss mark in his career) has a 5.83 earned run average while conceding 10.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 28 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.505 and having a FIP of 5.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.64 and he has gone up against 194 hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-152) and under 9 runs

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