Cleveland Guardians vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 5/3/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Sacramento Athletics

Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026

Location: Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-150) Sacramento (+125)

The Sacramento Athletics (17-14) will try to beat the Cleveland Guardians (16-16) at Sutter Health Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has Cleveland at -150 and Sacramento is coming in at +125. The over/under is 9. The starting pitchers will be Parker Messick and Aaron Civale.

As a team, the Cleveland Guardians are scoring 3.8 runs per outing, which puts them at 27th in MLB. They are sitting with 123 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .314. The Guardians have earned 54 doubles as a team and have smacked 31 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 118 RBI's as well as 238 base knocks this year, and their batting average is at .228. Cleveland is slugging .371 and have been rung up 248 times, while taking a walk on 122 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Picks Today

Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.75 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.23. Guardians pitchers have given up 37 home runs in addition to 131 runs (8th in MLB). Cleveland has given up 238 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 118 earned runs. The Guardians have a team earned run average of 3.77 on the year (7th in MLB), and they have rung up 297 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 108 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.01 as a squad so far this season.

The Guardians bullpen have earned a save percentage of 69.2% and have entered the game in 34 save situations. They have accumulated 9 saves this year and have blown 4 of 13 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 48 runners this year and 35.4% of them crossing the plate. Guardians pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 29 times as well as having 36 appearances in high leverage situations. The Guardians have sent 101 relievers to the mound this year. The relievers have a total of 21 holds on the year (8th in the league).

The Cleveland Guardians have accumulated 844 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 253 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which is 9th in the majors, and they have turned 23 double plays. The Guardians have converted 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,532 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 9th in the majors.

Messick has taken the ball for 75 innings and has tallied 76 punch outs so far in his career. His earned run average is 2.27 (19 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.116. He has surrendered 68 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) with 16 free passes. Messick (6-1 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 2.24 while he has faced 300 batters in the major leagues.

The Athletics hold a slugging percentage of .392 and they score 4.23 runs per contest (20th in MLB). They have hit 51 doubles, while taking a walk 116 times and putting up 131 runs. Sacramento has accumulated 32 long balls so far this season as well as 128 runs batted in. They have struck out on 273 occasions (12th in MLB) and have notched a total of 258 hits. The Sacramento Athletics have accumulated a team OBP of .322 as well as a team batting average of .245 so far this season.

The Athletics have a team WHIP of 1.423 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.73 as a pitching staff on the year. They rank 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 257. The Sacramento pitching staff have allowed 136 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.24 (131 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 8.00 (248 strikeouts vs 139 walks). They have yielded 37 homers and they concede 4.40 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league).

With 46 save situations, the Athletics have amassed 24 holds and also 9 blown saves. Sacramento has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 20 save opportunities and they have come away with 11 saves. Sacramento relievers hold an inherited score rate of 26.3% out of their 57 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 45 times in high leverage situations in addition to 38 occasions with runners on base. They are ranked 23rd in MLB with a save rate of 55.0%, and they have dispatched 108 relievers to the mound this year.

The Sacramento Athletics have gotten 23 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .994 (1st in the majors). The Athletics have accrued 232 assists, 6 errors and have accounted for 836 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 2,508 innings on the diamond, the Athletics have a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (6th in professional baseball).

Thus far in his career, Civale has allowed 722 base knocks while earning 689 strikeouts in 768 frames. He has allowed 351 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.214 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.27 and he has gone up against 3,204 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. Civale (45-45 career mark) holds a 4.11 ERA and has surrendered 8.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (-150)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.