Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 10/13/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Tuesday, October 13, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+142) Tampa Bay (-172)

Tropicana Field is the location where the Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) will take on the Cleveland Guardians (85-77) on Tuesday in Game 2 of the ALCS. The odds on this game have the Guardians at +142 while the Rays open at -172. The total has been set at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start are Parker Messick and Freddy Peralta.

Cleveland has a slugging % of .380 and have been rung up 1,271 times, while drawing a walk on 574 occasions. They have recorded 650 RBI's as well as 1,291 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .239. The Guardians have compiled 249 doubles as a team and have smacked 162 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 678 runs and have an OBP of .316. As a team, the Cleveland Guardians are recording 4.2 runs per contest, which has them at 24th in MLB.

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The Guardians are sitting with a team ERA of 3.77 so far this year (8th in the league), and they have struck out 1,530 batters. Guardians pitchers have allowed 175 long balls and also 667 runs in total (8th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 530 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.82 as a squad so far this year. Cleveland has yielded 1,286 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 602 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.89 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26.

The Guardians have dispatched 555 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 261 base runners on the campaign with 28.4% of them earned a run for their team. The relief pitchers have a total of 117 holds so far this season (1st in MLB). Guardians relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 166 times as well as having 178 appearances in high leverage situations. They have 46 saves this season and have not converted 18 of their 64 save opportunities. The Guardians relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 71.9% and stepped onto the hill in 183 save situations.

The Guardians have transformed 69.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,939 innings on the field, ranking them 23rd in pro baseball. The Cleveland Guardians have 4,313 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,262 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which has them ranked 17th in professional baseball, and they have turned 108 double plays.

Messick has taken the mound for 225 innings and has totaled 231 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Messick (15-10 career record) sits with a FIP of 2.56 while he has gone up against 912 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 2.60 (65 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.110. He has surrendered 195 base knocks (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 55 walks.

Tampa Bay is sitting with 169 home runs for the season as well as 700 runs batted in. They have put up 230 two-baggers, while walking 514 times as well as scoring 736 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays have a team on-base percentage of .326 in addition to a batting average of .258 so far this year. The Rays hold a team SLG% of .402 and they average 4.54 runs per contest (12th in baseball). They have struck out on 1,145 occasions (30th in MLB) and are sitting with 1,405 hits.

The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.139 in addition to having a FIP of 4.04 as a squad so far this season. They are currently ranked 4th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,235. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 650 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.70 (594 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.20 (1,322 strikeouts against 409 walks). They have surrendered 201 homers and they yield 4.05 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB).

Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.3% of 192 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 163 times in high leverage situations and on 134 occasions with base runners. With 194 save situations, the Rays have amassed 115 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. They sit at 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 74.4%, and they have dispatched 522 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year.

The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 100 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in pro baseball). The Rays have recorded 1,279 assists, 92 errors and have accumulated 4,329 putouts so far this season. Out of their 12,987 innings played, the Rays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 72.3% (1st in the majors).

Peralta (75-44 career record) has a 3.57 earned run average while conceding 6.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.19 and he has gone up against 4,071 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 391 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.126 and having a FIP of 3.5. So far in his pro baseball career, Peralta has given up 735 base knocks while he has accumulated 1,196 punch outs in 986 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cleveland (+142)

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