Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/25/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+132) Tampa Bay (-160)

The Cleveland Guardians (54-50) are traveling to Tropicana Field on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (59-43). The moneyline on this game has the Guardians at +132 and the Rays are sitting at -160. The betting total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Tanner Bibee and Nick Martinez.

Cleveland has a slugging percentage of .375 and have struck out 869 times, while drawing a walk on 376 occasions. They have accrued 399 runs batted in and 800 base knocks this year, while their team batting average is at .233. The Guardians have tallied 159 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 103 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 417 runs and hold an OBP of .312. As a unit, the Cleveland Guardians are putting up 4.0 runs per contest, which is 29th in baseball.

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The Guardians hold a team ERA of 3.71 this season (8th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 950 batters. Guardians pitchers have given up 117 long balls in addition to 423 total runs (8th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 343 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.91 as a squad for the season. Cleveland has surrendered 823 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 381 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.77 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26.

The Guardians relievers have compiled a save rate of 76.7% and have come into the game in 130 save situations. They have accumulated 33 saves on the campaign and have blown 10 of their 43 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 155 runners so far this season with 24.5% of them ended up crossing the plate. Guardians bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 102 times in addition to having 130 appearances in high leverage situations. The Guardians have sent 352 relievers to the hill for the year. The bullpen have a total of 86 holds for the season (1st in the league).

The Guardians have converted 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 8,322 innings, which ranks them 18th in the majors. The Cleveland Guardians have earned 2,774 putouts for the season, as well as 823 assists and 55 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .985 which has them ranked 19th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 71 double plays.

Bibee has pitched in 617 innings and has accounted for 582 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Bibee (38-32 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.61 while going up against 2,539 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.66 (251 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.170. He has allowed 544 base knocks (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 178 free passes.

The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated an OBP of .333 and a team batting average of .259 this season. They have been rung up on 730 occasions (30th in MLB) and have a total of 884 base hits. Tampa Bay has accounted for 103 home runs for the season to go along with 435 runs batted in. The Rays hold a team slugging percentage of .402 and they score 4.50 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have 147 doubles, while taking a walk 349 times and notching 459 runs.

The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.174 in addition to having a FIP of 4.16 as a team for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.10 (814 strikeouts vs 271 bases on balls). They rank 6th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 793. They have surrendered 128 homers and they relinquish 4.26 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have relinquished 429 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.83 (386 earned runs surrendered).

They are currently ranked 6th in the league with a save rate of 73.1%, and they have sent 321 bullpen pitchers onto the field this season. Their relievers have taken the field 96 times in high leverage situations and also on 82 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 129 save situations, the Rays have accrued 77 holds and also 14 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had relievers step onto the hill in 52 save chances and they have tallied 38 saves. Tampa Bay relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.4% out of their 119 inherited base runners.

The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 69 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in baseball). The Rays have accrued 819 assists, 62 errors and have earned a total of 2,718 putouts so far this year. In 8,154 innings on the diamond, the Rays have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.8% (2nd in the majors).

Thus far in his career, Martinez has surrendered 1,040 hits while he has tallied 732 strikeouts in 1,051 frames. He has allowed a total of 466 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.283 and having a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.37 and he has faced 4,439 opposing batters during his career. Martinez (57-61 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 3.99 earned run average while giving up 8.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cleveland (+132)

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