Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Reds.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado (+126) Cincinnati (-152)

Great American Ball Park is where the Cincinnati Reds (18-10) will take on the Colorado Rockies (13-16) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has Colorado at +126 and Cincinnati is sitting at -152. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Tomoyuki Sugano and Chase Burns.

The Rockies have tallied 53 doubles as a team and have smacked 27 baseballs out of the park. Colorado is slugging .391 and have been rung up 272 times, while being walked on 86 occasions. As a squad, the Colorado Rockies are recording 4.1 runs per outing, which is 23rd in the league. They have earned 114 RBI's and 241 hits this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .247. They have accounted for 118 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .316.

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The Rockies have a team earned run average of 4.07 for the season (16th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 226 batters. Rockies pitchers have allowed 36 home runs and 129 runs (18th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 92 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.44 as a squad this season. Colorado has given up 258 base hits (9.1 per 9 innings) as well as 116 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.46 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.37.

The Rockies have sent 86 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 44 runners so far this year with 13.6% of those players earned a run for their team. The relief pitchers have recorded 15 holds so far this season (18th in baseball). Rockies relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 27 times and also have had 31 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 10 saves so far this season and have missed out on 3 of their 13 chances to get a save. The Rockies relievers have a save percentage of 76.9% and have come into the game in 28 save situations.

The Colorado Rockies have notched a total of 769 putouts on the year, as well as 245 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .984 which puts them in 22nd in pro baseball, and they have turned 26 double plays. The Rockies have converted 68.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,307 innings on the diamond, ranking them 22nd in baseball.

Sugano (12-11 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.41 while he has gone up against 784 opposing batters in the majors. He has surrendered 197 base knocks (9.7 hits per nine innings) and has 42 walks. His ERA is 4.47 (91 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.305. Sugano has pitched in 183 innings and has accumulated 125 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Reds hold a team SLG% of .377 and they average 4.21 runs per game (19th in baseball). They have hit 37 two-baggers, while taking a walk 119 times and earning 118 runs. Cincinnati has accumulated 37 long balls this year to go along with 108 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 263 occasions (6th in baseball) and are sitting with 197 base knocks. The Cincinnati Reds hold a team on-base percentage of .307 as well as a batting average of .213 for the season.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.395 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.51 as a unit for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.60 (215 strikeouts vs 127 free passes). They come in at 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 226. They have conceded 28 long balls and they concede 4.16 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 117 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.77 (106 earned runs surrendered).

Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 20.0% of 45 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 38 times in high leverage situations and on 32 occasions with base runners. With 37 save situations, the Reds have 21 holds and also 5 blown saves. They are currently ranked 9th in MLB with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 106 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 30 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in pro baseball). The Reds have racked up 238 assists, 13 errors and have accounted for 759 putouts for the year. In 2,277 innings on the diamond, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (6th in MLB).

Burns (2-4 career mark) is the owner of a 3.80 earned run average while allowing 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.59 and he has gone up against 299 hitters so far in his career. He has allowed 30 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.224 and having a FIP of 3.7. During his MLB career, Burns has surrendered 60 hits while tallying 97 strikeouts in 71 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Colorado (+126)

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