Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/9/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado (+125) Philadelphia (-145)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (17-21) will take on the Colorado Rockies (15-23) on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Rockies at +125 and the Phillies are sitting at -145. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Kyle Freeland and Aaron Nola.

As a squad, the Colorado Rockies are notching 4.3 runs per game, which ranks them 18th in the league. They are sitting with 163 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .323. The Rockies have compiled 69 doubles as a team and have hit 38 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 158 runs batted in in addition to 324 hits for the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .252. Colorado is slugging .404 and have been rung up 364 times, while drawing a walk on 120 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.29 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.41. Rockies pitchers have allowed 51 home runs and also 188 total runs (25th in the league). Colorado has conceded 346 hits (9.3 per 9 innings) as well as 174 earned runs. The Rockies have a team ERA of 4.67 for the season (24th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 289 batters. They have walked 126 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.67 as a unit on the campaign.

The Rockies bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 71.4% and have come into the game in 29 save situations. They have compiled 10 saves so far this year and have blown 4 out of their 14 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 60 base runners for the year and 23.3% of those players earned a run for their team. Rockies bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 36 times in addition to having 35 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rockies have sent 107 relievers to the hill for the season. The relievers have notched 15 holds for the season (24th in baseball).

The Rockies have turned 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,018 innings, which has them ranked 25th in the majors. The Colorado Rockies have accounted for 1,006 putouts so far this season, in addition to 331 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .985 which has them ranked 21st in baseball, and have accumulated 33 double plays.

Freeland has taken the ball for 1,285 innings and has 968 punch outs in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.55 (650 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.416. He has conceded 1,420 hits (9.9 hits per nine innings) and has 400 free passes. Freeland (66-93 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.48 while he has gone up against 5,577 batters during his time in the majors.

Philadelphia has tallied 41 home runs so far this season and 146 runs batted in. They have hit 55 doubles, while walking 113 times and putting up 148 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have compiled an on-base percentage of .300 and a team batting average of .231 over the course of the season. The Phillies have a team SLG% of .382 and they are recording 3.89 runs per game (27th in the league). They have struck out on 304 occasions (18th in baseball) and have recorded 298 hits.

The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.448 and have a FIP of 3.70 as a unit for the season. They are currently ranked 30th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 367. The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 190 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.67 (175 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.50 (357 strikeouts against 121 walks). They have conceded 38 long balls and they relinquish 5.07 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball).

Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.0% of 50 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 31 times in high leverage situations and on 40 occasions with runners on base. With 25 save situations, the Phillies have 13 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. They sit at 12th in MLB holding a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 134 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 21 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in the majors). The Phillies have recorded 336 assists, 19 errors and have earned a total of 1,012 putouts for the season. In their 3,036 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have a efficiency on defense of 64.6% (30th in pro baseball).

During his career, Nola has given up 1,563 hits while tallying 1,916 K's in 1,752 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 751 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.156 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.15 and he has gone up against 7,200 hitters in his MLB career. Nola (111-92 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.86 earned run average and has given up 8.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-145)

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