Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado (+120) San Diego (-144)

The Colorado Rockies (42-65) are hitting the road to Petco Park on Tuesday where they will attempt to defeat the San Diego Padres (53-53). The odds on this game have the Rockies at +120 and the Padres are coming in at -144. The over/under is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Michael Lorenzen and Michael King.

As a team, the Colorado Rockies are knocking in 4.7 runs/g, which has them sitting at 9th in the league. They have a total of 507 runs scored while having a team OBP of .324. The Rockies have recorded 193 doubles as a team and have knocked 120 balls out of the park. They have 486 RBI's as well as 920 base knocks on the campaign, while their batting average is sitting at .254. Colorado has a slugging percentage of .417 and have been called out on strikes 926 times, while drawing a walk on 335 occasions.

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The Rockies hold a team ERA of 5.55 for the season (30th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 755 hitters. Rockies pitchers have surrendered 152 long balls in addition to 617 runs (30th in baseball). They have walked 347 opposing players and their FIP is 4.85 as a team on the season. Colorado has surrendered 1,084 base hits (10.4 per 9 innings) and also 579 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.18 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.52.

The Rockies relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 61.0% and have entered the game in 80 save situations. They have compiled 25 saves so far this season and have missed out on 16 of 41 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 169 runners this year and 29.6% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Rockies relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 105 times in addition to having 97 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rockies have dispatched 320 relievers to the hill on the season. The relievers have a total of 38 holds over the course of the season (29th in the league).

The Colorado Rockies have notched a total of 2,818 putouts this year, as well as 896 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which is 24th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 87 double plays. The Rockies have turned 66.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 8,454 innings, which has them ranked 30th in baseball.

Lorenzen (57-64 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 4.25 while he has faced 4,696 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 1,062 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 426 free passes. His ERA is 4.31 (525 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.357. Lorenzen has taken the hill for 1,096 innings and has earned 904 punch outs during his MLB career.

The San Diego Padres are sitting with an on-base percentage of .308 as well as a batting average of .232 this season. They have been rung up on 879 occasions (16th in MLB) and have totaled 808 hits. San Diego has tallied 118 long balls this year to go along with 431 RBIs. The Padres hold a slugging percentage of .384 and they tally 4.17 runs per outing (24th in baseball). They have 158 two-baggers, while walking 361 times and notching 442 runs.

The San Diego pitching staff have given up 463 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.19 (435 earned runs surrendered). They have yielded 119 long balls and they yield 4.46 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.332 with a FIP of 4.26 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.30 (863 strikeouts vs 374 free passes). They have a ranking of 20th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 871.

With 109 save situations, the Padres have earned 62 holds and also 14 blown saves. San Diego has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 45 save chances and they have walked away with 31 saves. San Diego relievers hold an inherited score rate of 32.2% out of 177 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 122 times in high leverage situations and on 105 occasions with runners on base. They rank 12th in baseball with a save percentage of 68.9%, and they have dispatched 361 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this season.

The San Diego Padres have turned 89 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in MLB). The Padres have racked up 930 assists, 42 errors and have a total of 2,805 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 8,415 innings played, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (15th in MLB).

King (37-36 career mark) has a 3.24 earned run average while surrendering 7.5 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.00 and he has gone up against 2,560 opposing batters thus far in his career. He has given up a total of 221 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.190 and having a FIP of 3.2. So far in his pro baseball career, King has surrendered 509 base knocks while earning 662 strikeouts in 613 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Colorado (+120)

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