Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Braves.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+162) Atlanta (-196)

The Detroit Tigers (15-14) are hitting the road to Truist Park on Tuesday where they will take on the Atlanta Braves (20-9). The moneyline on this matchup has Detroit at +162 and Atlanta is priced at -196. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Casey Mize and Martin Perez.

The Tigers have accrued 57 doubles as a team and have knocked 31 baseballs out of the park. Detroit has a slugging percentage of .417 and have been called out on strikes 234 times, while drawing a walk on 108 occasions. As a unit, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.6 runs per game, which is 15th in MLB. They have 127 runs batted in in addition to 244 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average is .253. They have 132 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .333.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.18 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.34. Tigers pitchers have surrendered 23 long balls and also 122 runs in total (12th in MLB). Detroit has surrendered 227 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 110 earned runs. The Tigers have an earned run average of 3.95 this season (11th in the league), and the staff has rung up 235 batters. They have walked 108 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.86 as a team for the season.

The Tigers relievers have earned a save percentage of 63.6% and stepped onto the hill in 25 save situations. They have accumulated 7 saves this year and have not converted 4 of their 11 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 61 base runners over the course of the season and 37.7% of those players ended up scoring. Tigers bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 36 times and also have had 24 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have sent 85 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 13 holds this season (23rd in baseball).

The Tigers have converted 69.4% of balls in play into outs out of 2,253 innings on the field, which has them ranked 19th in the majors. The Detroit Tigers have a total of 751 putouts this season, in addition to 239 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which puts them in 21st in baseball, and have a total of 24 double plays.

Mize has taken the ball for 468 frames and has earned 397 strikeouts thus far in his career. Mize (25-26 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 4.03 while going up against 1,986 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.09 (213 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.282. He has surrendered 469 base knocks (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 131 walks.

The Atlanta Braves have a team OBP of .340 and a team batting average of .274 so far this season. They have struck out on 214 occasions (25th in the league) and have tallied 276 base hits. Atlanta has accumulated 40 home runs on the campaign as well as 161 runs batted in. The Braves hold a team slugging percentage of .453 and they are earning 5.72 runs per game (1st in MLB). They have notched 54 two-baggers, while taking a walk 95 times as well as putting up 166 runs.

The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 101 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 3.13 (90 earned runs allowed). They have surrendered 28 HR's and they relinquish 3.51 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball). The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.124 in addition to having a FIP of 3.85 as a pitching staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.40 (243 strikeouts vs 90 free passes). They sit at 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 201.

Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 28.0% of 25 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 27 times in high leverage situations and on 17 occasions with runners on base. With 31 save situations, the Braves have accrued 17 holds and also 1 blown save. They are ranked 1st in the league with a save percentage of 91.7%, and they have dispatched 91 relievers to the mound this season.

In 2,331 innings played, the Braves have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 73.6% (1st in baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 24 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in pro baseball). The Braves have accrued 237 assists, 12 errors and have a tally of 777 putouts for the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Perez has given up 1,766 base hits while he has tallied 1,167 punch outs in 1,654 innings pitched. Perez (92-94 career mark) holds a 4.39 earned run average while conceding 9.6 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 807 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.428 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.96 and he has gone up against 7,161 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-196)

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