Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/18/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-182) Boston (+150)

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (7-11) will compete against the Detroit Tigers (10-9) on Saturday. The line on this contest has Detroit at -182 and Boston is opening at +150. The over/under is 9. The expected starting pitchers are Tarik Skubal and Brayan Bello.

The Tigers have accumulated 37 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 14 balls out of the park. Detroit owns a slugging percentage of .382 and have been rung up 159 times, while being walked on 71 occasions. As a squad, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.4 runs per game, which puts them at 15th in the league. They have recorded 80 runs batted in in addition to 152 base knocks over the course of the season, and their batting average comes in at .245. They have notched a total of 84 runs while holding a team OBP of .329.

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The Tigers have an earned run average of 3.66 this year (8th in the league), and the staff has struck out 145 hitters. Tigers pitchers have given up 12 home runs and 71 runs in total (5th in baseball). They have walked 67 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.71 as a squad for the year. Detroit has surrendered 139 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 66 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.16 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Tigers bullpen have earned a save percentage of 71.4% and stepped onto the hill in 16 save situations. They have earned 5 saves on the year and have missed out on 2 out of their 7 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 41 runners over the course of the season and 39.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Tigers pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 24 times as well as having 13 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have sent 52 relievers to the hill this season. The relievers have a total of 8 holds on the campaign (23rd in baseball).

The Colorado Rockies have a total of 487 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 153 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which has them sitting 22nd in baseball, and have 16 double plays. The Tigers have transformed 70.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 1,461 innings, which has them ranked 12th in professional baseball.

Skubal (56-39 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.01 and he has faced 3,151 opposing hitters in the majors. He has conceded 633 base knocks (7.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 176 free passes. His earned run average is 3.05 (268 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.024. Skubal has taken the mound for 790 frames and is sitting with 912 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Boston Red Sox have tallied a team on-base percentage of .322 and a batting average of .239 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 160 occasions (13th in the league) and have 144 base knocks. Boston has a total of 12 HRs on the campaign and 74 runs batted in. The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .355 and they are scoring 4.28 runs per game (18th in baseball). They have 30 two-baggers, while walking 61 times and scoring 77 runs.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.352 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.93 as a squad so far this year. They have a ranking of 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 143. The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 86 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 4.55 (79 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.20 (142 strikeouts vs 68 bases on balls). They have given up 25 homers and they give up 4.96 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB).

They are ranked 18th in MLB with a save rate of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 57 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 18 times in high leverage situations and on 14 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 15 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 10 holds and also 2 blown saves. Boston has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 5 save opportunities and they have converted 3 saves. Boston relievers have an inherited score rate of 28.6% out of 21 inherited base runners.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 11 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .978 (27th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 165 assists, 14 errors and have earned 469 putouts this year. In 1,407 innings on the field, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.9% (9th in pro baseball).

Thus far in his career, Bello has surrendered 563 base hits while he has totaled 473 strikeouts in 557 innings pitched. Bello (40-37 career mark) is the owner of a 4.15 earned run average while giving up 9.1 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 257 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.376 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.32 and he has faced 2,410 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit (-182)

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