Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/19/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, April 19, 2026

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-122) Boston (+102)

The Boston Red Sox (7-11) will compete against the Detroit Tigers (10-9) at Fenway Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Tigers at -122 and the Red Sox open at +102. The over/under comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Framber Valdez and Garrett Crochet.

The Tigers have recorded 37 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 14 baseballs out of the stadium. Detroit is slugging .382 and have been called out on strikes 159 times, while drawing a walk on 71 occasions. As a unit, the Detroit Tigers are notching 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in MLB. They have amassed 80 RBI's as well as 152 base knocks this season, and their team batting average is at .245. They have earned a total of 84 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .329.

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The Tigers are sitting with a team ERA of 3.66 on the year (8th in the league), and they have rung up 145 hitters. Tigers pitchers have surrendered 12 home runs in addition to 71 runs in total (5th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 67 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.71 as a team this year. Detroit has relinquished 139 base knocks (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 66 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.16 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Tigers have sent 52 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 41 runners over the course of the season with 39.0% of those runners earned a run for their team. The relievers have accumulated 8 holds over the course of the season (23rd in MLB). Tigers bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 24 times and also have had 13 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 5 saves on the season and have blown 2 of 7 chances to save the game. The Tigers relievers have a save percentage of 71.4% and have stepped onto the mound in 16 save situations.

The Tigers have converted 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,461 innings on the diamond, ranking them 12th in pro baseball. The Colorado Rockies have notched a total of 487 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 153 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .982 which has them sitting 22nd in the majors, and have accumulated 16 double plays.

Valdez (82-53 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.32 while he has faced 4,587 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 935 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 396 free passes. His ERA is 3.37 (414 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.205. Valdez has taken the ball for 1,104 innings and has tallied 1,066 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

The Boston Red Sox have compiled a team OBP of .322 in addition to a batting average of .239 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 160 occasions (13th in the league) and are sitting with 144 base hits. Boston has accumulated 12 home runs over the course of the season and 74 runs batted in. The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .355 and they are scoring 4.28 runs per contest (18th in MLB). They have put up 30 doubles, while taking a walk 61 times as well as putting up 77 runs.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.352 in addition to having a FIP of 4.93 as a team on the year. They are sitting at 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 143. The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 86 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.55 (79 earned runs given up). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.20 (142 strikeouts vs 68 walks). They have given up 25 dingers and they concede 4.96 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB).

They are currently ranked 18th in MLB holding a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 57 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 18 times in high leverage situations and on 14 occasions with runners on. With 15 save situations, the Red Sox have compiled 10 holds and also 2 blown saves. Boston has had relievers enter the game in 5 save opportunities and they have tallied 3 saves. Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.6% out of their 21 inherited runners.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 11 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .978 (27th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 165 assists, 14 errors and have a tally of 469 putouts over the course of the season. In their 1,407 innings on the field, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (9th in baseball).

Thus far in his career, Crochet has surrendered 368 hits while earning 571 punch outs in 443 innings. He has given up a total of 155 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.115 and having a FIP of 3.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.53 and he has faced 1,817 opposing batters during his pro baseball career. Crochet (29-26 career record) has a 3.15 earned run average while allowing 7.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit (-122)

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