Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/12/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+150) New York (-182)

The Detroit Tigers (19-22) are hitting the road to Citi Field on Tuesday where they will take on the New York Mets (15-25). The line on this contest has Detroit at +150 while New York opens at -182. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Jack Flaherty and Freddy Peralta.

As a squad, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.3 runs per contest, which ranks them 19th in MLB. They have accounted for 175 runs and hold an OBP of .325. The Tigers have hit 77 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 37 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 166 RBI's in addition to 330 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average is at .242. Detroit is slugging .391 and have been called out on strikes 341 times, while drawing a walk on 157 occasions.

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The Tigers have compiled a team ERA of 3.90 this season (11th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 342 batters. Tigers pitchers have conceded 34 long balls in addition to 171 runs in total (12th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 142 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.76 as a squad on the year. Detroit has yielded 323 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 154 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.41 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.31.

The Tigers have dispatched 123 relievers to the hill this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 75 base runners this year with 33.3% of those players crossing the plate. The bullpen have tallied 17 holds on the year (24th in the league). Tigers relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 46 times in addition to having 32 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 9 saves on the year and have missed out on 8 out of their 17 chances to save the game. The Tigers bullpen have compiled a save rate of 52.9% and have come into the game in 35 save situations.

The Detroit Tigers are sitting with 1,065 putouts on the campaign, as well as 345 assists and 23 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .984 which is 25th in the majors, and have accumulated 37 double plays. The Tigers have turned 69.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,195 innings on the field, which has them sitting 23rd in MLB.

Flaherty has taken the ball for 1,024 innings and has racked up 1,172 K's in his pro baseball career. Flaherty (63-59 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.80 while he has gone up against 4,282 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.86 (439 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.214. He has surrendered 866 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 377 free passes.

The New York Mets have an on-base percentage of .287 in addition to a batting average of .222 this season. They have struck out on 309 occasions (27th in baseball) and are sitting with 295 hits. New York has a total of 31 long balls over the course of the season as well as 132 RBIs. The Mets have a slugging percentage of .341 and they score 3.48 runs per contest (29th in MLB). They have hit 55 two-baggers, while getting a free base 118 times as well as scoring 139 runs.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.260 with a FIP of 3.54 as a pitching staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.50 (376 strikeouts against 140 bases on balls). They sit at 10th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 311. They have given up 34 home runs and they relinquish 4.27 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have conceded 170 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 3.85 (153 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 23 save situations, the Mets have compiled 12 holds and also 5 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 11 save chances and they have come away with 6 saves. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 39.3% out of their 56 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 53 times in high leverage situations and on 41 occasions with runners on base. They sit at 24th in baseball with a save percentage of 54.5%, and they have dispatched 119 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

In 3,222 innings on the field, the Mets have a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (19th in baseball). The New York Mets have turned 23 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in professional baseball). The Mets have 334 assists, 20 errors and have notched a total of 1,074 putouts for the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Peralta has surrendered 728 base hits while he has tallied 1,196 K's in 974 innings. He has given up a total of 386 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.135 and having a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.16 and he has gone up against 4,038 opposing batters in his MLB career. Peralta (72-45 career record) has a 3.57 earned run average and has surrendered 6.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit (+150)

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