Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/14/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+120) New York (-144)

Citi Field is the site where the New York Mets (16-25) will take on the Detroit Tigers (19-23) on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has the Tigers at +120 while the Mets are sitting at -144. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Keider Montero and Nolan McLean.

The Tigers have recorded 80 doubles as a squad and have hit 38 baseballs out of the park. Detroit has a slugging rate of .392 and have been rung up 352 times, while drawing a walk on 160 occasions. As a team, the Detroit Tigers are compiling 4.2 runs per outing, which is 17th in the league. They have tallied 168 runs batted in and 339 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is at .243. They have accumulated 177 runs and have an on-base percentage of .324.

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The Tigers have compiled a team ERA of 3.99 for the year (14th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 350 batters. Tigers pitchers have conceded 34 long balls and also 181 runs in total (14th in baseball). They have walked 148 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.75 as a unit over the course of the season. Detroit has given up 336 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 161 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.36 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.33.

The Tigers bullpen have compiled a save rate of 52.9% and have entered the game in 35 save situations. They have earned 9 saves this year and have not converted 8 out of their 17 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 82 runners for the season and 32.9% of them crossing home plate. Tigers bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 50 times in addition to having 32 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have sent 128 relievers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have a total of 17 holds for the season (24th in the league).

The Tigers have converted 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,267 innings on the field, which has them sitting 25th in baseball. The Detroit Tigers have accumulated 1,089 putouts this season, in addition to 348 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which has them ranked 25th in professional baseball, and they have turned 37 double plays.

Montero (13-11 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.27 and he has gone up against 956 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 225 base knocks (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 70 free passes. His ERA is 4.34 (110 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.293. Montero has pitched in 228 innings and is sitting with 178 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The Mets have a team slugging % of .343 and they average 3.63 runs per outing (29th in the league). They have put up 56 doubles, while taking a walk 124 times and earning 149 runs. New York is sitting with 31 HRs on the year to go along with 141 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 317 occasions (27th in baseball) and have earned 308 base hits. The New York Mets have tallied a team on-base percentage of .291 and a batting average of .225 on the campaign.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.264 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.53 as a unit on the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.50 (387 strikeouts against 143 bases on balls). They sit at 10th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 321. They have surrendered 35 long balls and they relinquish 4.22 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The New York pitching staff have allowed 172 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.80 (155 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 23 save situations, the Mets have amassed 12 holds and also 5 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 11 save opportunities and they have earned 6 saves. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 39.3% out of their 56 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 53 times in high leverage situations in addition to 41 occasions with base runners. They are ranked 24th in the league with a save rate of 54.5%, and they have sent 121 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year.

Out of their 3,303 innings played, the Mets have a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (20th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 23 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in baseball). The Mets have recorded 338 assists, 20 errors and have notched a total of 1,101 putouts over the course of the season.

In his MLB career, McLean has allowed 63 base hits while he has accumulated 114 strikeouts in 93 innings. McLean (6-3 career mark) has a 2.42 ERA while conceding 6.1 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 25 ER's while holding a WHIP of 0.977 and a FIP of 2.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.07 and he has gone up against 363 opposing hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Detroit (+120)

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