Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees

Date: Wednesday, July 1, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+106) New York (-128)

The New York Yankees (48-36) are hosting the Detroit Tigers (36-49) at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Tigers at +106 while the Yankees are sitting at -128. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Troy Melton and Will Warren.

As a team, the Detroit Tigers are knocking in 4.1 runs per outing, which ranks them 22nd in MLB. They have a total of 351 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .315. The Tigers have hit 130 doubles as a team and have hit 95 baseballs out of the park. They have 335 RBI's in addition to 665 hits so far this season, while their team batting average comes in at .236. Detroit owns a slugging percentage of .394 and have struck out 732 times, while drawing a walk on 310 occasions.

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The Tigers have compiled a team ERA of 3.78 so far this season (8th in the league), and their staff has rung up 696 hitters. Tigers pitchers have conceded 86 long balls and also 350 runs in total (10th in MLB). They have walked 259 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.90 as a team so far this season. Detroit has yielded 665 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 314 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.69 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24.

Tigers bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 98 times in addition to having 73 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 38 holds over the course of the season (23rd in MLB). The Tigers bullpen have recorded a save rate of 44.1% and stepped onto the hill in 74 save situations. They have recorded 15 saves this year and have not converted 19 of 34 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 151 runners over the course of the season and 29.1% of them ended up scoring. The Tigers have dispatched 263 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Detroit Tigers have notched a total of 2,240 putouts this year, in addition to 731 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which has them ranked 11th in MLB, and have accumulated 64 double plays. The Tigers have converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,720 innings on the field, which ranks them 11th in MLB.

Melton has thrown 82 frames and has totaled 61 K's in his career. His earned run average is 2.62 (24 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.947. He has conceded 54 base knocks (5.9 hits per nine innings) with 24 walks. Melton (7-3 career mark) sits with a FIP of 2.58 and he has gone up against 325 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The New York Yankees have accounted for an OBP of .321 as well as a team batting average of .238 on the campaign. They have struck out on 743 instances (7th in the league) and have notched a total of 662 base hits. New York has compiled 122 long balls for the season as well as 394 RBIs. The Yankees hold a team slugging % of .425 and they are recording 4.90 runs per contest (5th in MLB). They have tallied 129 two-baggers, while walking 337 times as well as scoring 412 runs.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.192 with a FIP of 3.60 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.80 (727 strikeouts vs 256 walks). They sit at 4th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 630. They have relinquished 74 home runs and they concede 3.81 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have given up 315 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.31 (273 earned runs surrendered).

New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 26.2% of 145 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 95 times in high leverage situations and on 95 occasions with runners on. With 74 save situations, the Yankees have recorded 40 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. They rank 18th in MLB with a save percentage of 60.6%, and they have sent 274 relievers to the mound for the year.

The New York Yankees have turned 57 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (19th in MLB). The Yankees have 746 assists, 47 errors and have accounted for 2,231 putouts for the season. In 6,693 innings on the field, the Yankees hold a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (8th in pro baseball).

In his MLB career, Warren has given up 276 hits while earning 284 punch outs in 269 innings pitched. Warren (16-14 mark in his career) has earned a 4.72 ERA while conceding 9.2 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 141 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.413 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.73 and he has gone up against 1,188 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (-128) and under 9 runs

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