Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 3/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+110) San Diego (-130)

The San Diego Padres (90-72 last year) will take on the Detroit Tigers (87-75 last season) at Petco Park on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Tigers at +110 while the Padres are priced at -130. The over/under comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Tarik Skubal and Nick Pivetta.

As a team, the Detroit Tigers knocked in 4.7 runs per game, which had them sitting at 11th in the league. They tallied 758 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .316. The Tigers recorded 244 doubles as a team and hit 198 baseballs out of the stadium. They had 724 RBI's in addition to 1,346 base knocks during the previous year, while their average at the plate sat at .247. Detroit had a slugging percentage of .413 and were rung up 1,454 times, while taking a walk on 511 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio was at 2.84 and their pitching staff earned a collective WHIP of 1.25. Tigers pitchers conceded 187 long balls and 691 runs in total (16th in baseball). Detroit surrendered 1,309 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 630 earned runs. The Tigers had an ERA of 3.95 over the course of last year (16th in MLB), and the staff struck out 1,375 batters. Their pitching staff walked 485 opposing batters and their FIP was 4.05 as a unit over the course of the prior season.

The Tigers relief pitchers recorded a save percentage of 64.5% and entered the game in 142 save situations. The bullpen inherited 258 base runners for the prior year with 28.7% of those runners crossed home plate. Tigers pitchers came into the game with runners on base 182 times in addition to having 140 outings in high leverage situations. The Tigers had dispatched 508 relievers to the hill for the prior year. The relief pitchers racked up 75 holds for the prior year (26th in MLB). They accumulated 40 saves last year and blew 22 of their 62 chances to save the game.

The Colorado Rockies notched a total of 4,309 putouts in the previous season, as well as 1,379 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding rate was at .981 which was 29th in baseball, and had a total of 128 double plays. The Tigers converted 70.2% of balls in play into outs out of 12,927 innings on the field, ranking them 13th in MLB.

Skubal has taken the hill for 766 innings and has racked up 889 punch outs during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.08 (262 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.026. He has surrendered 614 base hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 172 free passes. Skubal (54-37 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.03 while he has gone up against 3,056 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The San Diego Padres accumulated an OBP of .321 and a batting average of .252 last season. They struck out on 1,161 occasions (28th in MLB) and had a total of 1,369 hits. San Diego accounted for 152 HRs for the previous season and 663 runs batted in. The Padres had a team slugging percentage of .390 and they scored 4.33 runs per contest (18th in baseball). They recorded 254 two-baggers, while getting a free base 510 times as well as putting up 702 runs.

The Padres held a team WHIP of 1.209 and had a FIP of 4.02 as a pitching staff over the course of last year. They were sitting at 1st in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,197. The San Diego pitching staff conceded 621 runs over the course of the prior season while having an ERA of 3.63 (578 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio sat at 8.90 (1,425 strikeouts vs 535 free passes). They surrendered 178 dingers and they surrender 3.90 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league).

San Diego bullpen pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 29.3% out of their 263 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers came in 209 times in high leverage situations and on 185 occasions with runners on. Finishing with 174 save situations, the Padres accumulated 104 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. They were ranked 1st in baseball with a save rate of 75.4%, and they sent 577 relievers to the mound last year. San Diego called on relievers to take the mound in 65 save opportunities and they recorded 49 saves.

The San Diego Padres had 117 double plays and earned a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in the majors). The Padres had 1,234 assists, 74 errors and had a total of 4,299 putouts for the prior year. Out of their 12,897 innings played, the Padres finished with a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (3rd in pro baseball).

Pivetta (69-76 career mark) has earned a 4.48 ERA and has conceded 8.2 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.11 and he has faced 5,107 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 602 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.267 and a FIP of 4.4. In his career, Pivetta has surrendered 1,107 base knocks while accumulating 1,329 strikeouts in 1,210 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-130)

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