Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/16/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-152) Toronto (+126)

The Detroit Tigers (71-79) are hitting the road to Rogers Centre on Wednesday where they will try to beat the Toronto Blue Jays (75-76). The line on this matchup has the Tigers at -152 and the Blue Jays are coming in at +126. The over/under comes in at 8. The starting pitchers will be Keider Montero and Max Scherzer.

The Tigers have hit 235 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 169 baseballs out of the park. Detroit has a slugging rate of .399 and have been called out on strikes 1,302 times, while taking a walk on 528 occasions. As a unit, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.5 runs per outing, which ranks them 14th in the league. They have accounted for 640 runs batted in and 1,210 hits for the season, and their team batting average is .239. They have notched a total of 672 runs scored while having a team OBP of .316.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.57 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.22. Tigers pitchers have surrendered 155 long balls in addition to 601 total runs (6th in MLB). Detroit has surrendered 1,158 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 541 earned runs. The Tigers are sitting with a team ERA of 3.66 on the season (5th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,203 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 469 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.04 as a team on the season.

Tigers pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 164 times as well as having 135 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have recorded 71 holds on the campaign (23rd in baseball). The Tigers relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 48.4% and have stepped onto the mound in 135 save situations. They have compiled 30 saves so far this season and have blown 32 of their 62 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 243 base runners so far this season and 25.9% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Tigers have dispatched 469 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Tigers have converted 71.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,970 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 4th in baseball. The Detroit Tigers have accumulated 3,990 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,348 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them sitting 9th in baseball, and have a total of 120 double plays.

Montero (20-17 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.06 while going up against 1,394 opposing batters in the majors. He has surrendered 312 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 96 free passes. His earned run average is 4.13 (154 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.214. Montero has taken the ball for 336 frames and has tallied 247 punch outs so far in his career.

The Blue Jays have a slugging percentage of .386 and they average 4.06 runs per contest (30th in the league). They have 241 two-baggers, while getting a free base 426 times and recording 613 runs. Toronto has accounted for 148 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 583 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,085 occasions (29th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,268 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have compiled an OBP of .311 as well as a batting average of .249 on the campaign.

The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.294 in addition to having a FIP of 3.98 as a staff this year. They are sitting at 9th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,187. The Toronto pitching staff have given up 645 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.91 (583 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.80 (1,313 strikeouts vs 549 walks). They have surrendered 156 dingers and they relinquish 4.33 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).

With 169 save situations, the Blue Jays have 98 holds and also 16 blown saves. Toronto has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 66 save chances and they have earned 50 saves. Toronto relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.4% of 231 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 184 times in high leverage situations in addition to 161 occasions with runners on. They sit at 2nd in baseball with a save rate of 75.8%, and they have sent 563 relievers to the mound on the year.

In 12,078 innings played, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (13th in professional baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 101 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in MLB). The Blue Jays have racked up 1,275 assists, 90 errors and have earned 4,026 putouts during this campaign.

During his pro baseball career, Scherzer has surrendered 2,498 base hits while he has tallied 3,540 punch outs in 3,030 innings. Scherzer (223-125 career record) holds a 3.29 ERA while allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has given up 1,107 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.091 and a FIP of 3.2. His K/BB ratio is 4.39 and he has gone up against 12,282 opposing hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto (+126) and under 8 runs

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