Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/3/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+120) Boston (-144)

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (12-19) will meet the Houston Astros (12-20) on Sunday. The odds on this game have Houston at +120 while Boston is sitting at -144. The total is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Kai-Wei Teng and Ranger Suarez.

As a squad, the Houston Astros are earning 5.3 runs per contest, which ranks them 6th in the league. They have racked up 168 runs scored and have an OBP of .346. The Astros have hit 66 two-baggers as a team and have hit 40 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 159 RBI's and 292 hits this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .265. Houston is slugging .438 and have been called out on strikes 247 times, while taking a walk on 126 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

The Astros have compiled a team earned run average of 6.08 this year (30th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 293 batters. Astros pitchers have allowed 46 home runs and 194 runs in total (30th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 175 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 5.29 as a unit this year. Houston has yielded 281 base hits (9.1 per 9 innings) and 188 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.67 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.64.

The Astros have sent 103 relievers to the hill this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 66 runners so far this season with 30.3% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The relievers have 12 holds on the campaign (27th in baseball). Astros relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 39 times as well as having 23 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 6 saves over the course of the season and have blown 1 of 7 chances to save the game. The Astros relievers have compiled a save rate of 85.7% and have entered the game in 19 save situations.

The Astros have turned 67.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,505 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 28th in professional baseball. The Houston Astros have a total of 835 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 235 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding rate is at .990 which has them ranked 5th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 30 double plays.

Teng has taken the mound for 59 innings and is sitting with 64 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 5.91 (39 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.498. He has surrendered 58 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 31 free passes. Teng (3-6 career record) holds a FIP of 5.82 while he has faced 271 hitters in the major leagues.

Boston has compiled 21 long balls so far this year as well as 118 runs batted in. They have hit 53 doubles, while walking 102 times and putting up 123 runs. The Boston Red Sox have accumulated an OBP of .309 and a batting average of .231 for the season. The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .351 and they tally 3.97 runs per contest (24th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 258 occasions (15th in baseball) and are sitting with 240 hits.

The Boston pitching staff have relinquished 139 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.35 (131 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 41 home runs and they surrender 4.61 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.313 and have a FIP of 4.58 as a team this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.20 (246 strikeouts against 103 free passes). They come in at 15th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 253.

With 23 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 14 holds and 4 blown saves. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 9 save chances and they have walked away with 5 saves. Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.1% out of 44 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 26 times in high leverage situations and also on 29 occasions with runners on. They are ranked 20th in MLB with a save rate of 55.6%, and they have sent 94 relievers to the hill so far this year.

Out of their 2,442 innings played, the Red Sox are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.6% (10th in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have turned 21 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (16th in baseball). The Red Sox have 283 assists, 16 errors and have 814 putouts this year.

During his career, Suarez has allowed 752 base hits and he has 734 strikeouts in 797 innings. He has allowed 298 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.256 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.95 and he has faced 3,329 opposing batters thus far in his career. Suarez (55-39 career win-loss mark) has a 3.37 earned run average while giving up 8.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-144)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.