Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 7/24/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Friday, July 24, 2026

Location: Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Chicago Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-196) Chicago (+162)

The Chicago White Sox (54-47) will take on the Houston Astros (50-54) at Rate Field on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has the Astros at -196 and the White Sox open at +162. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Spencer Arrighetti and Davis Martin.

Houston has a slugging rate of .413 and have struck out 841 times, while being walked on 341 occasions. They have accrued 452 RBI's and 843 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average is at .242. The Astros have earned 156 doubles as a squad and have hit 142 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 473 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .315. As a squad, the Houston Astros are recording 4.6 runs per contest, which ranks them 12th in baseball.

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The Astros have an earned run average of 4.71 this season (25th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 915 batters. Astros pitchers have surrendered 142 home runs and 518 runs in total (25th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 453 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.80 as a team for the year. Houston has conceded 829 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 482 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.02 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.39.

The Astros relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 83.3% and have entered the game in 82 save situations. They have tallied 30 saves on the season and have blown 6 of their 36 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 140 runners this season and 28.6% of them ended up crossing the plate. Astros relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 93 times as well as having 101 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have dispatched 328 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have racked up 46 holds this season (24th in baseball).

The Astros have transformed 70.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 8,292 innings, which has them ranked 10th in the majors. The Houston Astros have a total of 2,764 putouts this year, in addition to 752 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .988 which has them sitting 7th in baseball, and they have turned 82 double plays.

Arrighetti has thrown 267 innings and has accumulated 289 strikeouts so far in his career. His earned run average is 4.58 (136 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.378. He has given up 235 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) with 133 walks. Arrighetti (15-23 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.51 while going up against 1,165 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

Chicago has accumulated 131 home runs so far this season as well as 464 runs batted in. They have hit 157 doubles, while walking 342 times as well as scoring 483 runs. The Chicago White Sox have accounted for an on-base percentage of .318 in addition to a batting average of .240 for the season. The White Sox hold a team SLG% of .409 and they have an average of 4.78 runs per game (8th in MLB). They have struck out on 906 occasions (7th in baseball) and have totaled 809 base hits.

The Chicago pitching staff have given up 439 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.08 (405 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 109 homers and they relinquish 4.42 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The White Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.309 in addition to having a FIP of 4.23 as a squad over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (853 strikeouts against 375 bases on balls). They are sitting at 8th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 795.

They are ranked 19th in baseball with a save percentage of 59.6%, and they have sent 339 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 99 times in high leverage situations and on 107 occasions with runners on. With 85 save situations, the White Sox have earned 38 holds and 19 blown saves. Chicago has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 47 save chances and they have earned 28 saves. Chicago relievers hold an inherited score rate of 30.2% of 159 inherited runners.

The Chicago White Sox have turned 72 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in the majors). The White Sox have accrued 837 assists, 50 errors and have notched a total of 2,682 putouts during this campaign. In 8,046 innings played, the White Sox have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (11th in professional baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Martin has allowed 351 hits and he has 296 punch outs in 362 innings pitched. Martin (19-26 career win-loss record) holds a 4.03 earned run average while conceding 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 162 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.309 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.41 and he has faced 1,530 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-196)

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