Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 5/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Reds.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-196) Cincinnati (+162)

Great American Ball Park is where the Cincinnati Reds (20-18) will attempt to beat the Houston Astros (15-23) on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Astros at -196 and the Reds are sitting at +162. The betting total is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Peter Lambert and Andrew Abbott.

The Astros have accumulated 73 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 47 baseballs out of the stadium. Houston is slugging .429 and have struck out 301 times, while being walked on 139 occasions. As a team, the Houston Astros are knocking in 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in MLB. They have tallied 175 runs batted in as well as 339 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average comes in at .261. They have racked up 185 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .338.

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The Astros hold a team ERA of 5.82 over the course of the season (30th in the league), and they have struck out 341 hitters. Astros pitchers have conceded 53 long balls and 222 runs in total (30th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 201 opposing batters and their FIP is 5.19 as a team on the year. Houston has yielded 341 base hits (9.2 per 9 innings) and 215 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.70 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.63.

The Astros have sent 121 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relievers have inherited 74 base runners on the campaign and 28.4% of them crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have a total of 13 holds on the season (27th in the league). Astros bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 43 times as well as having 29 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 8 saves over the course of the season and have blown 1 of 9 save opportunities. The Astros relievers have a save percentage of 88.9% and have entered the game in 22 save situations.

The Houston Astros have amassed 997 putouts this year, in addition to 289 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding rate is at .990 which puts them in 4th in professional baseball, and they have turned 38 double plays. The Astros have converted 67.1% of balls in play into outs in their 2,991 innings, which has them sitting 28th in pro baseball.

Lambert (10-21 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 5.88 while he has faced 1,198 batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 312 hits (10.6 hits per nine innings) and has 106 walks. His earned run average is 5.97 (176 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.576. Lambert has pitched in 265 innings and has totaled 204 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

The Reds have a slugging percentage of .387 and they tally 4.11 runs per outing (23rd in the league). They have hit 52 doubles, while walking 151 times as well as putting up 156 runs. Cincinnati has a total of 52 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 145 runs batted in. They have struck out on 356 occasions (3rd in the league) and have tallied 279 base hits. The Cincinnati Reds have earned an on-base percentage of .306 as well as a batting average of .220 so far this year.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have relinquished 186 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 4.59 (173 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 42 long balls and they yield 4.94 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB). The Reds have a WHIP of 1.510 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.80 as a pitching staff on the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.80 (293 strikeouts vs 184 walks). They are currently ranked 24th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 328.

Sitting with 45 save situations, the Reds have amassed 26 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 18 save chances and they have come away with 10 saves. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 24.6% out of 61 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 52 times in high leverage situations in addition to 44 occasions with runners on base. They are currently ranked 22nd in MLB with a save percentage of 55.6%, and they have sent 143 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season.

Out of their 3,054 innings on the diamond, the Reds have a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (17th in pro baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 38 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (6th in professional baseball). The Reds have recorded 329 assists, 15 errors and have earned a total of 1,018 putouts for the season.

In his pro baseball career, Abbott has given up 422 base hits while he has totaled 411 punch outs in 453 frames. Abbott (29-25 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.57 earned run average and has conceded 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 180 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.280 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.60 and he has faced 1,911 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+162)

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