Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 6/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Detroit SportsNet

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+110) Detroit (-132)

The Detroit Tigers (34-47) are welcoming the Houston Astros (40-43) at Comerica Park on Sunday. The line on this matchup has Houston at +110 while Detroit opens at -132. The total has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Hunter Brown and Jack Flaherty.

As a team, the Houston Astros are notching 4.5 runs per contest, which puts them at 16th in the league. They have earned a total of 372 runs scored and have an OBP of .316. The Astros have accounted for 133 doubles as a unit and have knocked 108 balls out of the stadium. They have recorded 356 runs batted in as well as 674 base knocks so far this year, and their batting average sits at .242. Houston is slugging .410 and have been called out on strikes 681 times, while drawing a walk on 278 occasions.

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The Astros have compiled a team earned run average of 4.72 for the year (26th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 718 batters. Astros pitchers have conceded 106 home runs and also 410 runs (25th in MLB). They have walked 358 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.70 as a team so far this season. Houston has surrendered 664 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 385 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.01 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.39.

Astros relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 78 times as well as having 75 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 35 holds this year (24th in baseball). The Astros relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 82.8% and have entered the game in 64 save situations. They have recorded 24 saves on the season and have blown 5 out of their 29 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 119 runners this season and 28.6% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Astros have sent 255 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Houston Astros are sitting with 2,203 putouts on the year, as well as 619 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .989 which is 5th in the majors, and have accumulated 73 double plays. The Astros have converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,609 innings, which has them sitting 11th in professional baseball.

Brown has taken the hill for 550 innings and has accounted for 613 K's during his career. Brown (37-31 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.37 and he has gone up against 2,267 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.42 (209 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.205. He has allowed 473 base knocks (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 190 free passes.

The Detroit Tigers have accounted for an OBP of .313 in addition to a batting average of .234 on the campaign. They have struck out on 702 instances (8th in baseball) and have 628 base hits. Detroit has compiled 88 home runs this season and 311 RBIs. The Tigers have a team slugging % of .391 and they are recording 4.01 runs per outing (26th in MLB). They have hit 123 doubles, while getting a free base 292 times as well as scoring 325 runs.

The Tigers have a team WHIP of 1.246 with a FIP of 3.92 as a squad this year. They are sitting at 10th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 635. The Detroit pitching staff have conceded 332 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.81 (300 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.40 (660 strikeouts against 249 walks). They have given up 81 homers and they relinquish 4.21 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league).

With 69 save situations, the Tigers have accrued 35 holds and also 17 blown saves. Detroit has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 32 save chances and they have come away with 15 saves. Detroit relievers have an inherited score percentage of 29.5% of 149 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 70 times in high leverage situations and on 97 occasions with runners on. They are ranked 29th in baseball holding a save percentage of 46.9%, and they have sent 252 relievers to the mound for the season.

Out of their 6,387 innings on the diamond, the Tigers have a efficiency on defense of 70.7% (9th in baseball). The Detroit Tigers have turned 61 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (9th in MLB). The Tigers have racked up 695 assists, 35 errors and have a total of 2,129 putouts on the campaign.

Flaherty (64-64 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.90 earned run average and has conceded 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.14 and he has faced 4,426 hitters during his MLB career. He has conceded 457 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.222 and having a FIP of 3.8. Thus far in his career, Flaherty has conceded 905 hits while he has tallied 1,208 punch outs in 1,055 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Detroit (-132) and under 8 runs

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