Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, August 28, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+110) New York (-130)

The Houston Astros (66-67) are headed to Citi Field on Friday where they will meet the New York Mets (60-73). The odds on this game have Houston at +110 and New York is at -130. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Hunter Brown and Christian Scott.

As a team, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 10th in the league. They have accumulated 608 runs and have an OBP of .317. The Astros have hit 196 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 177 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 579 runs batted in and 1,084 hits on the year, and their batting average sits at .242. Houston has a slugging percentage of .411 and have been called out on strikes 1,091 times, while drawing a walk on 443 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.11 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.37. Astros pitchers have conceded 177 home runs and also 656 runs in total (25th in MLB). Houston has surrendered 1,070 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 614 earned runs. The Astros are sitting with a team ERA of 4.68 this season (25th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,161 hitters. They have walked 550 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.66 as a squad on the year.

The Astros relievers have a save percentage of 81.6% and have come into the game in 115 save situations. They have recorded 40 saves for the season and have blown 9 of 49 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 180 base runners so far this season and 26.7% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Astros bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 122 times and also have had 133 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have dispatched 432 relievers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have earned 64 holds for the year (23rd in the league).

The Houston Astros have earned 3,541 putouts on the year, in addition to 982 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which is 11th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 106 double plays. The Astros have converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs in their 10,623 innings on the field, which has them ranked 11th in MLB.

Brown (39-34 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.44 and he has faced 2,501 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 517 base knocks (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 222 walks. His ERA is 3.49 (235 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.221. Brown has taken the hill for 605 innings and has accumulated 661 punch outs so far in his MLB career.

The New York Mets have tallied an on-base percentage of .307 as well as a batting average of .237 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,127 occasions (13th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,060 hits. New York has hit 163 home runs this season as well as 526 runs batted in. The Mets hold a team slugging percentage of .391 and they are recording 4.14 runs per contest (23rd in MLB). They have put up 166 doubles, while walking 425 times as well as putting up 550 runs.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.305 in addition to having a FIP of 4.04 as a squad this season. They come in at 12th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,068. The New York pitching staff have given up 596 runs this year while having an ERA of 4.08 (537 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.10 (1,198 strikeouts vs 477 bases on balls). They have relinquished 146 long balls and they concede 4.53 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB).

With 99 save situations, the Mets have 56 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 40 save chances and they have come away with 25 saves. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 27.2% out of their 173 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 144 times in high leverage situations and on 124 occasions with base runners. They are ranked 16th in the league holding a save rate of 62.5%, and they have dispatched 408 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The New York Mets have gotten 82 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in pro baseball). The Mets have accrued 1,051 assists, 81 errors and have 3,554 putouts on the season. In their 10,662 innings played, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (20th in the majors).

Scott (4-6 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.03 earned run average while giving up 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.94 and he has gone up against 587 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has conceded 61 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.285 and having a FIP of 4.0. So far in his career, Scott has conceded 124 hits and he has 150 K's in 136 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (+110)

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