Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/29/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+102) New York (-122)

The New York Mets (60-74) will try to defeat the Houston Astros (67-67) at Citi Field on Saturday. The line on this matchup has the Astros at +102 while the Mets are at -122. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Cristian Javier and Nolan McLean.

As a unit, the Houston Astros are knocking in 4.6 runs per game, which puts them at 10th in baseball. They have earned 613 runs while having a team OBP of .317. The Astros have tallied 197 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 179 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 583 runs batted in in addition to 1,093 base knocks for the year, and their team batting average is at .242. Houston is slugging .412 and have struck out 1,099 times, while being walked on 445 occasions.

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The Astros have an earned run average of 4.65 for the season (25th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,172 hitters. Astros pitchers have given up 177 long balls and also 657 runs (25th in MLB). They have walked 552 hitters and their FIP is 4.64 as a unit for the season. Houston has given up 1,075 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 615 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.12 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.37.

The Astros have sent 435 relievers to the hill this year. The relievers have inherited 181 runners on the year and 27.1% of those runners ended up scoring. The relievers are sitting with 66 holds so far this season (22nd in baseball). Astros pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 123 times in addition to having 134 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 40 saves so far this season and have blown 9 of 49 save opportunities. The Astros relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 81.6% and have entered the game in 117 save situations.

The Astros have transformed 70.5% of balls in play into outs in their 10,704 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 11th in professional baseball. The Houston Astros have earned a total of 3,568 putouts so far this season, in addition to 987 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which ranks 11th in MLB, and they have turned 106 double plays.

Javier (36-26 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.80 and he has faced 2,402 hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 445 base hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 238 free passes. His earned run average is 3.86 (248 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.181. Javier has taken the mound for 578 innings and has earned 636 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Mets hold a team slugging percentage of .389 and they are scoring 4.12 runs per contest (23rd in baseball). They have hit 167 doubles, while taking a walk 428 times as well as racking up 552 runs. New York has recorded 163 home runs on the year as well as 528 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,136 occasions (12th in the league) and have tallied 1,063 base knocks. The New York Mets have compiled an OBP of .306 as well as a team batting average of .236 so far this year.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.307 in addition to having a FIP of 4.05 as a pitching staff on the year. They are sitting at 14th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,080. The New York pitching staff have allowed 604 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.11 (545 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.10 (1,205 strikeouts vs 479 bases on balls). They have given up 148 long balls and they relinquish 4.56 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB).

They rank 16th in baseball holding a save percentage of 62.5%, and they have dispatched 410 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Their relievers have come in 144 times in high leverage situations and also on 125 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 99 save situations, the Mets have amassed 56 holds and 15 blown saves. New York has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 40 save chances and they have tallied 25 saves. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.0% out of 174 inherited base runners.

The New York Mets have turned 82 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in baseball). The Mets have recorded 1,061 assists, 82 errors and have accumulated 3,581 putouts for the year. In 10,743 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (20th in baseball).

Thus far in his career, McLean has conceded 146 hits while totaling 225 punch outs in 196 frames. McLean (14-9 career mark) holds a 2.94 ERA while conceding 6.7 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 64 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.121 and a FIP of 2.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.04 and he has faced 806 batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-122)

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