Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, 8/25/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs New York Yankees

Date: Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+106) New York (-128)

Yankee Stadium is the location where the New York Yankees (74-56) will meet the Houston Astros (65-66) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Houston at +106 while New York opens at -128. The total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Ethan Pecko and Will Warren.

Houston has a slugging % of .410 and have been rung up 1,072 times, while taking a walk on 436 occasions. They have tallied 567 RBI's and 1,066 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is .242. The Astros have accounted for 194 doubles as a unit and have hit 173 baseballs out of the stadium. They are sitting with 596 runs and have an OBP of .317. As a team, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, which ranks them 12th in baseball.

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The Astros have compiled a team earned run average of 4.63 on the year (25th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,149 batters. Astros pitchers have conceded 173 home runs and 640 runs in total (25th in baseball). They have walked 540 opposing players and their FIP is 4.64 as a squad over the course of the season. Houston has conceded 1,047 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 599 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.13 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.36.

The Astros bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 81.3% and have come into the game in 114 save situations. They have compiled 39 saves this year and have missed out on 9 of 48 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 174 runners for the year and 27.6% of those runners crossing home plate. Astros bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 118 times as well as having 129 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have sent 425 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have recorded 64 holds so far this season (22nd in MLB).

The Houston Astros have 3,490 putouts this season, as well as 965 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which is 11th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 104 double plays. The Astros have converted 70.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,470 innings, which has them sitting 10th in professional baseball.

Pecko (0-0 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 5.54 while he has faced 18 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 3 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 3 walks. His earned run average is 5.63 (2 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.875. Pecko has taken the ball for 3 frames and is sitting with 4 punch outs thus far in his career.

The New York Yankees have recorded an OBP of .309 in addition to a team batting average of .230 on the year. They have been rung up on 1,203 occasions (4th in the league) and have accounted for 985 base hits. New York has a total of 179 HRs this year to go along with 552 runs batted in. The Yankees hold a team SLG% of .407 and they have an average of 4.45 runs per game (17th in MLB). They have hit 192 doubles, while getting a free base 473 times as well as racking up 579 runs.

The New York pitching staff have yielded 479 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.20 (413 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 127 long balls and they relinquish 3.71 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB). The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.174 in addition to having a FIP of 3.64 as a staff on the campaign. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,164 strikeouts vs 395 free passes). They rank 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 968.

Sitting with 135 save situations, the Yankees have accumulated 72 holds and 23 blown saves. New York has had relievers enter the contest in 62 save chances and they have come away with 39 saves. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 21.0% out of 224 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 152 times in high leverage situations and on 155 occasions with runners on base. They sit at 17th in the league with a save rate of 62.9%, and they have sent 435 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the season.

Out of their 10,455 innings on the field, the Yankees hold a efficiency on defense of 71.1% (6th in baseball). The New York Yankees have gotten 101 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in MLB). The Yankees have 1,141 assists, 71 errors and have accumulated 3,485 putouts for the year.

So far in his MLB career, Warren has allowed 319 base knocks while totaling 322 punch outs in 307 frames. He has given up a total of 166 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.423 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.73 and he has gone up against 1,356 hitters so far in his MLB career. Warren (17-17 career mark) holds a 4.87 ERA and has conceded 9.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (-128) and under 8.5 runs

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