Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, 8/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs New York Yankees

Date: Thursday, August 27, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+106) New York (-128)

The New York Yankees (74-57) will compete against the Houston Astros (66-66) at Yankee Stadium on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Astros at +106 while the Yankees are opening at -128. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Hayden Wesneski and Gerrit Cole.

The Astros have tallied 194 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 176 baseballs out of the park. Houston is slugging .412 and have been called out on strikes 1,081 times, while drawing a walk on 440 occasions. As a squad, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 10th in the league. They have accrued 576 RBI's as well as 1,080 base knocks for the year, while their batting average is at .243. They have tallied 605 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .318.

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The Astros have a team ERA of 4.65 on the season (25th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,152 hitters. Astros pitchers have surrendered 175 home runs in addition to 647 runs in total (25th in the league). They have walked 545 opposing players and their FIP is 4.66 as a unit on the campaign. Houston has relinquished 1,057 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 606 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.11 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.37.

The Astros have dispatched 429 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 177 runners on the year and 27.1% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The relievers have earned 64 holds on the campaign (22nd in MLB). Astros bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 120 times and also have had 132 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 40 saves on the year and have blown 9 of 49 save chances. The Astros relievers have accumulated a save rate of 81.6% and have entered the game in 115 save situations.

The Astros have turned 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 10,551 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 11th in pro baseball. The Houston Astros have earned a total of 3,517 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 975 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .987 which puts them in 11th in pro baseball, and they have turned 105 double plays.

Wesneski has pitched in 249 innings and has totaled 234 strikeouts in his MLB career. Wesneski (13-17 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.98 while he has faced 1,038 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.04 (112 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.168. He has allowed 215 base hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 76 free passes.

New York has compiled 181 long balls on the year and 559 runs batted in. They have 194 two-baggers, while taking a walk 478 times and notching 586 runs. The New York Yankees are sitting with a team OBP of .310 and a team batting average of .230 for the season. The Yankees have a slugging percentage of .408 and they score 4.47 runs per game (17th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,206 instances (6th in the league) and have totaled 995 hits.

The New York pitching staff have given up 488 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.24 (421 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 130 homers and they concede 3.75 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball). The Yankees have a WHIP of 1.180 in addition to having a FIP of 3.67 as a unit for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,173 strikeouts against 399 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 982.

They sit at 19th in baseball with a save percentage of 60.9%, and they have dispatched 439 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 154 times in high leverage situations and also on 156 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 137 save situations, the Yankees have tallied 72 holds and also 25 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 64 save chances and they have earned 39 saves. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 20.9% of 225 inherited runners.

The New York Yankees have turned 101 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in professional baseball). The Yankees have 1,146 assists, 73 errors and have accumulated 3,512 putouts this year. In their 10,536 innings on the field, the Yankees hold a efficiency on defense of 71.0% (7th in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Cole has allowed 1,706 hits while he has tallied 2,351 strikeouts in 2,046 innings pitched. He has given up 722 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.088 and a FIP of 3.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.52 and he has gone up against 8,237 opposing batters in his career. Cole (160-86 career mark) is the owner of a 3.18 earned run average and has given up 7.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (+106)

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