Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, September 10, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+102) Philadelphia (-122)

Citizens Bank Park is the site where the Philadelphia Phillies (81-63) will take on the Houston Astros (73-71) on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has the Astros at +102 and the Phillies are priced at -122. The total is 9. The expected starting pitchers are Cristian Javier and Zack Wheeler.

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As a unit, the Houston Astros are compiling 4.5 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 13th in the league. They have accumulated 647 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .315. The Astros have tallied 211 doubles as a team and have hit 187 balls out of the stadium. They have 616 RBI's as well as 1,160 hits for the season, and their batting average is at .240. Houston is slugging .407 and have been rung up 1,180 times, while being walked on 474 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.14 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.35. Astros pitchers have given up 183 home runs and 685 runs in total (24th in the league). Houston has surrendered 1,139 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 641 earned runs. The Astros hold a team earned run average of 4.51 so far this year (24th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,264 batters. They have walked 591 opposing players and their FIP is 4.56 as a team this season.

The Astros relievers have a save percentage of 81.8% and stepped onto the hill in 133 save situations. They have tallied 45 saves over the course of the season and have blown 10 of their 55 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 198 runners this season with 25.8% of them crossing the plate. Astros pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 133 times and also have had 146 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have dispatched 466 relievers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have recorded 76 holds so far this year (18th in baseball).

The Astros have converted 70.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,514 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 9th in baseball. The Houston Astros have a tally of 3,838 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,056 assists and 64 errors. Their fielding rate is at .987 which has them ranked 10th in MLB, and they have turned 113 double plays.

Javier has pitched in 587 frames and has racked up 648 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 3.86 (252 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.180. He has given up 452 hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) with 241 walks. Javier (37-27 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.80 while facing 2,440 opposing batters in the majors.

Philadelphia has recorded 170 home runs this season and 622 runs batted in. They have put up 208 doubles, while taking a walk 459 times as well as notching 642 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with an OBP of .312 and a team batting average of .242 over the course of the season. The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .400 and they are earning 4.46 runs per contest (16th in the league). They have struck out on 1,193 occasions (16th in the league) and have 1,165 base hits.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.271 with a FIP of 3.74 as a unit on the season. They are currently ranked 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,194. The Philadelphia pitching staff have relinquished 607 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.96 (563 earned runs conceded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.90 (1,411 strikeouts against 431 walks). They have surrendered 167 homers and they relinquish 4.27 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).

With 126 save situations, the Phillies have amassed 66 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 58 save chances and they have recorded 39 saves. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.9% out of their 146 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 141 times in high leverage situations and on 107 occasions with runners on base. They are currently ranked 13th in baseball with a save rate of 67.2%, and they have sent 471 relief pitchers onto the diamond this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 86 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in professional baseball). The Phillies have recorded 1,186 assists, 71 errors and have amassed 3,836 putouts this year. Out of their 11,508 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (28th in MLB).

In his career, Wheeler has surrendered 1,579 base hits while he has tallied 1,983 K's in 1,864 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 679 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.133 and a FIP of 3.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.72 and he has faced 7,633 opposing batters thus far in his career. Wheeler (125-80 mark in his career) holds a 3.28 earned run average and has given up 7.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-122)

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